Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Utah State Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbde64189a9c395c2b57940501f467d19bb9c5da793562409099d075cf81493e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah State Aggiesof San Diego State Aztecs, Utah State Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed San Diego State Aztecs | 75c | 7,607$5,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,689.1 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah State Aggies | 54c | 4,519$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.56 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Utah State Aggies | 75c | 3,518$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego State Aztecs | 49c | 3,200$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.97 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed San Diego State Aztecs | 29c | 2,547$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.88 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed San Diego State Aztecs | 50c | 2,217$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.42 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Utah State Aggies | 30c | 2,005$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.07 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah State Aggies | 73c | 1,843$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 63c | 1,815$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.24 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed San Diego State Aztecs | 27c | 1,719$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.73 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego State Aztecs | 29c | 1,467$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.57 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 40c | 1,359$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.5 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Utah State Aggies | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed San Diego State Aztecs | 47c | 976.24$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.35 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah State Aggies | 74c | 944$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.44 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Utah State Aggies | 73c | 613.58$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed San Diego State Aztecs | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 58c | 500$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Diego State Aztecs | 26c | 469.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Utah State Aggies | 28c | 458.16$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.88 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego State Aztecs | 43c | 411.2$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 27c | 410$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 29c | 399.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Utah State Aggies | 61c | 386.44$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.34 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Utah State Aggies | 67c | 379.61$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.34 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah State Aggies | 72c | 342.15$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed San Diego State Aztecs | 33c | 330$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…ad38backed Utah State Aggies | 78c | 319$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…4d9abacked San Diego State Aztecs | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 75c | 294$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.55 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed San Diego State Aztecs | 28c | 267.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Utah State Aggies | 59c | 256.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed San Diego State Aztecs | 22c | 233.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Utah State Aggies | 66c | 199.77$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Utah State Aggies | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed San Diego State Aztecs | 23c | 134.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 9c | 130.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Diego State Aztecs | 23c | 121.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Utah State Aggies | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Utah State Aggies | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed San Diego State Aztecs | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed San Diego State Aztecs | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…4da7backed Utah State Aggies | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…9518backed San Diego State Aztecs | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed San Diego State Aztecs | 76c | 78.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Utah State Aggies | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 29c | 69.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6570…32ccbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ac…a011backed San Diego State Aztecs | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed San Diego State Aztecs | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 39c | 59.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Diego State Aztecs | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…3f6cbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 31c | 49.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Utah State Aggies | 30c | 47.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego State Aztecs | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…3189backed San Diego State Aztecs | 36c | 43.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Utah State Aggies | 68c | 42.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed San Diego State Aztecs | 25c | 42.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 39c | 37.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…21fbbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 65c | 36.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 32c | 36.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Utah State Aggies | 74c | 31.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Utah State Aggies | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 73c | 29.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed Utah State Aggies | 48c | 28.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Utah State Aggies | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed San Diego State Aztecs | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego State Aztecs vs. Utah State Aggiesthis page
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-6.5)San Diego State Aztecs won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-7.5)San Diego State Aztecs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.