Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Texas Mean Green vs. Rice Owls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe039ec40d8deb3f3b57c0f83176903910fa6f841f345db5dc8b873223d3d5c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rice Owlsof North Texas Mean Green, Rice Owls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Rice Owls | 45c | 18,888$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,388.37 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked North Texas Mean Green | 54c | 16,459$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,887.69 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed North Texas Mean Green | 55c | 9,750$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.29 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Rice Owls | 46c | 5,341$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.96 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Rice Owls | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Rice Owls | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rice Owls | 67c | 3,696$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.32 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 2,633$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.37 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed North Texas Mean Green | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.1 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked North Texas Mean Green | 43c | 2,029$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.47 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Rice Owls | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed North Texas Mean Green | 38c | 1,783$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.91 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Texas Mean Green | 58c | 1,778$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Rice Owls | 45c | 1,449$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.05 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed North Texas Mean Green | 53c | 1,240$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.34 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 56c | 1,215$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.42 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Rice Owls | 44c | 1,177$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.27 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rice Owls | 45c | 1,160$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.73 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked North Texas Mean Green | 56c | 1,144$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.55 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 1,136$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.01 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed North Texas Mean Green | 36c | 1,094$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Texas Mean Green | 50c | 1,048$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.02 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Rice Owls | 47c | 957.45$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.45 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rice Owls | 37c | 860.41$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.09 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Rice Owls | 64c | 640.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.84 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Texas Mean Green | 52c | 600$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.7 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 457.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.02 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Texas Mean Green | 59c | 433.06$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.37 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Texas Mean Green | 55c | 421.37$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.75 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Texas Mean Green | 51c | 396.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.88 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…a94abacked Rice Owls | 78c | 383.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed North Texas Mean Green | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rice Owls | 46c | 342$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked North Texas Mean Green | 29c | 322.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Rice Owls | 34c | 310.29$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.26 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rice Owls | 25c | 303$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.57 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed North Texas Mean Green | 48c | 268.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Rice Owls | 51c | 243.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Texas Mean Green | 48c | 219.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed North Texas Mean Green | 46c | 218.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed North Texas Mean Green | 52c | 210.03$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Texas Mean Green | 55c | 197.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Rice Owls | 26c | 193.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Rice Owls | 59c | 183.02$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Rice Owls | 48c | 171.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked North Texas Mean Green | 32c | 165.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Rice Owls | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Rice Owls | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked North Texas Mean Green | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rice Owls | 46c | 124$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Rice Owls | 54c | 115.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed North Texas Mean Green | 57c | 102.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked North Texas Mean Green | 40c | 83.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed North Texas Mean Green | 55c | 82.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed North Texas Mean Green | 40c | 81.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rice Owls | 48c | 78.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Rice Owls | 69c | 71.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed North Texas Mean Green | 41c | 65.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rice Owls | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rice Owls | 34c | 48.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Rice Owls | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Rice Owls | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed North Texas Mean Green | 51c | 43.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed North Texas Mean Green | 61c | 43.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed North Texas Mean Green | 64c | 42.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Rice Owls | 47c | 39.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Rice Owls | 47c | 39.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Rice Owls | 62c | 32.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Rice Owls | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…bfebbacked North Texas Mean Green | 49c | 30.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…1ccfbacked Rice Owls | 44c | 30.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Rice Owls | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed North Texas Mean Green | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked North Texas Mean Green | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed North Texas Mean Green | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.