Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf6c46db04f7a2b6f71aef8bee0244f9109f53aa6668539cee3106bd8b3e828e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Yes | 2c | 5,763$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 32c | 2,478$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.32 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 67c | 720.75$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.34 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 26c | 701.87$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.26 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 72c | 657.6$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.88 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 30c | 503.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 79c | 498.28$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…51d2backed No | 78c | 497.15$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 7c | 420.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…1af8backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 22c | 392.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 65c | 319.37$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 78c | 283.06$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 31c | 206.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d56…eb97backed Yes | 8c | 184.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 72c | 178.79$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 76c | 165$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…5f08backed Yes | 23c | 156.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 71c | 154.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 16c | 152.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 34c | 148.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 27c | 135.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 18c | 133.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 70c | 127.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 119$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 70c | 113.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 109.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 108$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 16c | 105.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 28c | 105.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 68c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 30c | 103.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 191 | 37.2%71 W · 120 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 97.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 73c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 67c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 15c | 89.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 66c | 82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 15c | 70.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…0c9fbacked Yes | 26c | 68.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 65.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 70c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 61.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 26c | 54.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 54.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 70c | 51.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 30c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c53…3145backed Yes | 32c | 44.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…20a1backed No | 70c | 43.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 75c | 41.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…e3e8backed No | 66c | 37.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 88 | 71.6%63 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 79c | 37.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…86b4backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccc…61dfbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 65c | 28.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 78c | 26.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 25.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 78c | 23.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 65c | 21.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…acacbacked No | 71c | 21.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cb…a72fbacked No | 74c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…a722backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…ea22backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.