Europa Conference League · resolved market
Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8941492df4d527626f946d4315ef2d7593ae620ecb1742386d0ea9c63850041
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over | 54c | 3,871$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 41c | 2,930$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.24 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 69c | 2,198$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.32 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 33c | 2,125$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.1 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 67c | 1,878$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.03 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 1,808$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.74 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 1,764$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.38 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 1,734$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.32 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 1,480$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab01…c9f1backed Under | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 53c | 1,375$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.54 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 62c | 1,077$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.84 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…ffe4backed Over | 35c | 489.94$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 487.25$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.78 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 444.27$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.48 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Under | 71c | 415.06$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 47c | 335$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.55 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Over | 51c | 310.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 203.52$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 325 | 47.7%155 W · 170 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 186$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…8737backed Under | 47c | 179.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 38c | 136.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 24c | 135.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 101$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 22c | 88.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 70c | 83.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 27c | 74.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 47c | 66.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 54c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 43c | 61.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 48c | 57.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 37c | 52.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 51.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9e2bbacked Under | 47c | 51.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 37c | 46.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 442 | 51.6%228 W · 214 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 44.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 749 | 39.4%295 W · 454 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 38c | 32.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 186 | 59.1%110 W · 76 L | +20.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 48c | 30.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…7a6bbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Under | 71c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 21.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Under | 71c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 139 | 68.3%95 W · 44 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 60c | 17.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 69c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 71c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5this page
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 2.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Lillestrøm SK O/U 0.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to AdvanceLillestrøm SK won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-2.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.