Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3821e1c3de1ec25b1144d9f3ccb1372b68c3e9baad8b4efdaac3998dc7532fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $399,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95c1…94d7backed Yes | 79c | 35,763$28,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,428.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 22c | 23,688$5,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,244.33 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | -11.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 14c | 21,822$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.23 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 13,445$4,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.94 | 5,677 | 42%2,382 W · 3,295 L | +74.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 24c | 12,171$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.26 | 177 | 53.7%95 W · 82 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 9c | 8,209$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.29 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 78c | 6,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 368 | 42.9%158 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 66c | 5,974$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 75c | 5,335$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.92 | 942 | 44.6%420 W · 522 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 78c | 4,412$3,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.62 | 2,167 | 47.9%1,038 W · 1,129 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 21c | 3,630$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.8 | 337 | 36.2%122 W · 215 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…abb2backed No | 30c | 3,618$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Yes | 78c | 3,205$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 25c | 3,101$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.23 | 2,103 | 36.6%770 W · 1,333 L | -27.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 14c | 3,035$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 68c | 2,937$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.28 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | -22.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 21c | 2,625$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.13 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked No | 22c | 2,600$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 9c | 2,596$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 2c | 2,551$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -48%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed No | 27c | 2,521$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 22c | 2,361$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.43 | 2,123 | 35.5%754 W · 1,369 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 20c | 2,179$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.72 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 40c | 2,091$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +146.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 20c | 2,031$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.14 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 79c | 1,940$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.44 | 1,144 | 50.7%580 W · 564 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 21c | 1,870$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.27 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 37c | 1,796$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…3293backed Yes | 73c | 1,788$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 22c | 1,741$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.35 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c51…1fc1backed No | 14c | 1,705$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 23c | 1,613$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.89 | 483 | 43.9%212 W · 271 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 74c | 1,609$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.35 | 386 | 39.4%152 W · 234 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Yes | 71c | 1,571$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…7b59backed No | 15c | 1,553$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 20c | 1,382$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.98 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d2…6a51backed No | 22c | 1,310$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…41bcbacked Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 74c | 1,223$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.02 | 73 | 72.6%53 W · 20 L | +15.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,207$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.3 | 252 | 47.2%119 W · 133 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,173$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.7 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…095ebacked No | 22c | 1,118$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed No | 26c | 1,103$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes | 67c | 1,063$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…5c62backed No | 21c | 1,024$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 12c | 1,007$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 655 | 50.1%328 W · 327 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 191 | 61.3%117 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…a7debacked No | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 23c | 908.54$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 889.29$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.49 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 22c | 871.16$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.11 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 21c | 870.85$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.88 | 1,165 | 60.4%704 W · 461 L | +67.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 66c | 842.13$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.21 | 259 | 45.9%119 W · 140 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 67c | 820.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.62 | 230 | 47.8%110 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 77c | 779.81$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 795 | 40.5%322 W · 473 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Yes | 63c | 714.29$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.29 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 78c | 696$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 77c | 692.35$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.95 | 882 | 50.1%442 W · 440 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 77c | 689.98$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 801 | 50.1%401 W · 400 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Yes | 69c | 679.8$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…081cbacked Yes | 78c | 638.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 78c | 625.81$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.51 | 213 | 31%66 W · 147 L | -21.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 77c | 623.38$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…ae3dbacked No | 22c | 613.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 23c | 600.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 13c | 583.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 66c | 579.01$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 742 | 33.6%249 W · 493 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Yes | 77c | 564.24$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 70c | 555.49$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.53 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 64c | 525.51$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.22 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a4…205ebacked Yes | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…0178backed Yes | 61c | 491.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 15c | 478.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 14c | 470.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 78c | 460.57$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 76c | 442.03$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed73…7164backed Yes | 69c | 413$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 76c | 387.58$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed No | 10c | 381.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…14ffbacked Yes | 67c | 373.57$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 23c | 368.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 26c | 337.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 21c | 332.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 2,607 | 52.1%1,358 W · 1,249 L | +9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 15c | 319.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 345 | 51%176 W · 169 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked No | 23c | 259.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 79c | 256.81$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 2,729 | 35.8%978 W · 1,751 L | -13.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…de17backed No | 16c | 238.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…2b25backed No | 22c | 238$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 21c | 225.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 421 | 52.3%220 W · 201 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6039…9496backed Yes | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-23?this page
- Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-23?No won
- Will FC Porto vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.