TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gauffof Sabalenka, Gauff
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f3c…2f57backed Gauff51c8,917$4,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,369.3730740.7%125 W · 182 L-23.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Sabalenka49c7,880$3,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,861.1526545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Gauff25c4,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.9910440.4%42 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Sabalenka52c2,879$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92a…99acbacked Sabalenka50c2,732$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.064930.6%15 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Sabalenka75c2,639$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.62837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+75%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Gauff34c2,124$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.7532031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Sabalenka76c1,789$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.4118868.6%129 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Gauff49c1,750$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88523945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sabalenka58c1,525$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.512,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Sabalenka50c1,468$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Gauff50c1,451$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.651338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Sabalenka50c1,293$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.7325544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Gauff50c1,102$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.024339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…569fbacked Gauff54c1,091$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.3850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gauff39c902.49$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.867,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Gauff45c877.32$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.8213135.9%47 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Sabalenka52c762.53$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gauff48c757.66$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.311,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sabalenka73c734.02$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.199,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Sabalenka51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018543.2%80 W · 105 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Gauff35c571.46$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.471,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Gauff49c562.31$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.784740.4%19 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Sabalenka53c519.14$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.1465157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Sabalenka53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2658337.3%31 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Sabalenka50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506446.9%30 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9647…4d48backed Gauff50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Sabalenka47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2358344.6%37 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Sabalenka55c494.13$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0868350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Gauff35c488.33$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.5832333.4%108 W · 215 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Sabalenka56c450$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25389850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Sabalenka56c448.56$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25114954.4%81 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gauff44c429.97$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.783,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Gauff53c420.36$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.572941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Sabalenka50c400.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Sabalenka51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018053.9%97 W · 83 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6712…467bbacked Gauff39c383.84$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.84560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Gauff34c352.82$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6218439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Gauff53c305$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.153737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Sabalenka75c300.64$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.218156.9%103 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Gauff44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16811937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Gauff51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1284857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f15…650dbacked Gauff52c288.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8115762.4%98 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Sabalenka71c281.12$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.961361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Gauff47c240.41$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.877,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Sabalenka54c232.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257841%32 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e6…d79fbacked Gauff35c219.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+188.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x372a…eb59backed Gauff50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a1…ee48backed Sabalenka50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf0…8a9abacked Sabalenka62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Gauff51c196.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0717818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b75…6679backed Sabalenka55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Sabalenka75c175$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.570465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Sabalenka67c170.11$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.277852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Gauff50c162.4$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.712322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Sabalenka63c159.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x125f…b7e8backed Sabalenka67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009359.1%55 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Gauff48c140.16$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.337,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Gauff54c116.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6319856.1%111 W · 87 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed Sabalenka46c111.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.331136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-49.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed Gauff25c106.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4315751.6%81 W · 76 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Sabalenka69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6933364.9%216 W · 117 L-19.4wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Sabalenka51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516852.9%36 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Sabalenka11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf77c…61cabacked Gauff54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4611846.6%55 W · 63 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Sabalenka47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4718447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Sabalenka47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82fd…4533backed Sabalenka53c92.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910248%49 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…817dbacked Sabalenka47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Sabalenka51c86.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3688446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Gauff39c86.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.863,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sabalenka49c81.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.894,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac2…7e7cbacked Sabalenka53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402540%10 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Gauff39c75.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.183732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Sabalenka53c65.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6440048.5%194 W · 206 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec9…02f6backed Gauff53c64.72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x759c…05e2backed Sabalenka78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019649%96 W · 100 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Sabalenka34c63.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.421435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Gauff50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.889244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Sabalenka66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.590335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Sabalenka69c59.46$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.038154.3%44 W · 37 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-16%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd42…c4aebacked Sabalenka53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5c…d123backed Sabalenka75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408974.2%66 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Gauff50c50.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.122,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Sabalenka61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x335f…2e1abacked Gauff50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e1…52febacked Sabalenka50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Sabalenka50c49.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed67…7122backed Gauff55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ba3…9cabbacked Sabalenka50c42.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+90.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e81…8427backed Sabalenka61c41.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.552955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf97e…aa3fbacked Gauff51c38.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.939757.7%56 W · 41 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a91…736bbacked Gauff52c38.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Sabalenka49c37.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2922755.1%125 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Sabalenka53c35.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.918845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Sabalenka66c35.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.518158.6%106 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Gauff53c32.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5114257%81 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa538…1ee9backed Sabalenka62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-4.5wins-0.28per pick66cpaid-45.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4ba8…90a3backed Gauff51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.748852.9%258 W · 230 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Gauff51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.757252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.