Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3e7d014cf3ba6c33615aa0d88be28ff6bc7ff114d3ffe404bb2bb0f1603f7f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauffof Sabalenka, Gauff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Gauff | 51c | 8,917$4,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,369.37 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Sabalenka | 49c | 7,880$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.15 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Gauff | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Sabalenka | 52c | 2,879$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…99acbacked Sabalenka | 50c | 2,732$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.06 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Sabalenka | 75c | 2,639$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Gauff | 34c | 2,124$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.75 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Sabalenka | 76c | 1,789$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.41 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Gauff | 49c | 1,750$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sabalenka | 58c | 1,525$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.51 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Sabalenka | 50c | 1,468$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Gauff | 50c | 1,451$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Sabalenka | 50c | 1,293$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.73 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Gauff | 50c | 1,102$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.02 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…569fbacked Gauff | 54c | 1,091$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gauff | 39c | 902.49$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.86 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Gauff | 45c | 877.32$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.82 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Sabalenka | 52c | 762.53$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gauff | 48c | 757.66$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.31 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sabalenka | 73c | 734.02$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.19 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Sabalenka | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Gauff | 35c | 571.46$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.47 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Gauff | 49c | 562.31$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.78 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Sabalenka | 53c | 519.14$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.14 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Sabalenka | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Sabalenka | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Gauff | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Sabalenka | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Sabalenka | 55c | 494.13$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.08 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Gauff | 35c | 488.33$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.58 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Sabalenka | 56c | 450$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Sabalenka | 56c | 448.56$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gauff | 44c | 429.97$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.78 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Gauff | 53c | 420.36$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.57 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Sabalenka | 50c | 400.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Sabalenka | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…467bbacked Gauff | 39c | 383.84$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Gauff | 34c | 352.82$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.62 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Gauff | 53c | 305$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 300.64$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Gauff | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Gauff | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Gauff | 52c | 288.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Sabalenka | 71c | 281.12$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gauff | 47c | 240.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Sabalenka | 54c | 232.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…d79fbacked Gauff | 35c | 219.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…eb59backed Gauff | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…ee48backed Sabalenka | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf0…8a9abacked Sabalenka | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Gauff | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…6679backed Sabalenka | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Sabalenka | 75c | 175$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Sabalenka | 67c | 170.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Gauff | 50c | 162.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Sabalenka | 63c | 159.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Sabalenka | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gauff | 48c | 140.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Gauff | 54c | 116.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Sabalenka | 46c | 111.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Gauff | 25c | 106.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Sabalenka | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Sabalenka | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Sabalenka | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 167 | 18.6%31 W · 136 L | -23.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Gauff | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Sabalenka | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Sabalenka | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…4533backed Sabalenka | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…817dbacked Sabalenka | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Sabalenka | 51c | 86.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gauff | 39c | 86.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sabalenka | 49c | 81.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac2…7e7cbacked Sabalenka | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Gauff | 39c | 75.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Sabalenka | 53c | 65.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…02f6backed Gauff | 53c | 64.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Sabalenka | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Sabalenka | 34c | 63.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Gauff | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Sabalenka | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Sabalenka | 69c | 59.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked Sabalenka | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…d123backed Sabalenka | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Gauff | 50c | 50.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sabalenka | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…2e1abacked Gauff | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…52febacked Sabalenka | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…14bcbacked Sabalenka | 50c | 49.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed67…7122backed Gauff | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…9cabbacked Sabalenka | 50c | 42.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…8427backed Sabalenka | 61c | 41.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…aa3fbacked Gauff | 51c | 38.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…736bbacked Gauff | 52c | 38.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Sabalenka | 49c | 37.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Sabalenka | 53c | 35.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Sabalenka | 66c | 35.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Gauff | 53c | 32.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…1ee9backed Sabalenka | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.5wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Gauff | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Gauff | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)this page
- Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco GauffAryna Sabalenka won
- Sabalenka vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Sabalenka vs. Gauff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs GauffSabalenka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.