NFL · resolved market
Seahawks vs. Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbe900186aaef649b672e407d4a8901e7a5f4da166cdb92d06ff583811c37c82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Seahawks, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Seahawks | 35c | 35,417$12,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,291.3 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Lions | 65c | 20,364$13,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,123.81 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Seahawks | 3c | 16,743$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.53 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Lions | 77c | 15,512$12,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.08 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Seahawks | 3c | 13,685$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.3 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Lions | 66c | 9,306$6,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Seahawks | 4c | 7,671$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.55 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Seahawks | 4c | 6,640$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.62 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Seahawks | 11c | 3,768$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.86 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Seahawks | 29c | 3,766$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.22 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lions | 64c | 3,465$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.58 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Seahawks | 12c | 3,004$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.51 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Seahawks | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Seahawks | 34c | 2,739$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.17 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…2476backed Seahawks | 35c | 2,722$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lions | 66c | 2,647$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Seahawks | 3c | 2,550$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Seahawks | 36c | 2,031$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.77 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…5638backed Lions | 67c | 2,000$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Lions | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Seahawks | 17c | 1,869$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.36 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Seahawks | 18c | 1,582$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.03 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Lions | 65c | 1,550$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Seahawks | 12c | 1,523$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Seahawks | 13c | 1,487$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.31 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…44c7backed Seahawks | 14c | 1,411$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Seahawks | 9c | 1,240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Seahawks | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Seahawks | 7c | 850$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…c44bbacked Seahawks | 11c | 761.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Seahawks | 5c | 759$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Lions | 80c | 746.97$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…e38abacked Seahawks | 19c | 738.75$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Seahawks | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lions | 65c | 682.61$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.91 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…997dbacked Seahawks | 35c | 682.61$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Seahawks | 4c | 605$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Lions | 80c | 579.96$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc61…0a44backed Seahawks | 34c | 542.84$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Seahawks | 21c | 539.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Seahawks | 17c | 530.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Seahawks | 14c | 528.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Seahawks | 12c | 501.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Seahawks | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Seahawks | 35c | 500$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Seahawks | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Lions | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Lions | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Lions | 65c | 444$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Seahawks | 6c | 431.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Seahawks | 36c | 383.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…12e7backed Lions | 80c | 378.75$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…0477backed Seahawks | 14c | 378.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Seahawks | 36c | 310$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Seahawks | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Seahawks | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…6760backed Seahawks | 20c | 295.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Seahawks | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Seahawks | 16c | 275.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c5…25cfbacked Seahawks | 14c | 253.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…0819backed Seahawks | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Seahawks | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Seahawks | 15c | 226.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9864…6c50backed Seahawks | 35c | 220.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Seahawks | 26c | 210$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…3acabacked Lions | 75c | 200.83$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Seahawks | 37c | 200.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Seahawks | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…2ae9backed Lions | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Seahawks | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Seahawks | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…a8c3backed Seahawks | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Seahawks | 34c | 191.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed Lions | 75c | 186.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Lions | 62c | 180.66$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Seahawks | 35c | 179.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Seahawks | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Lions | 72c | 170$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Lions | 67c | 157.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Lions | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede2…b6b4backed Seahawks | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lions | 67c | 149.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Seahawks | 12c | 149.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Seahawks | 14c | 147.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Seahawks | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Seahawks | 30c | 135.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…3800backed Seahawks | 22c | 133.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe51b…d02bbacked Lions | 67c | 125.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d9…eff0backed Lions | 67c | 111.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Seahawks | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Lions | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Seahawks | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Lions | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Seahawks | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…6a77backed Lions | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…1380backed Seahawks | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4b…e399backed Seahawks | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe06…d85bbacked Seahawks | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…4d6abacked Seahawks | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…676abacked Seahawks | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.