TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Bernard Tomic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bernard Tomicof Matthew Forbes, Bernard Tomic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,544 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Matthew Forbes25c25,000$6,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,124.9937450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Matthew Forbes24c11,634$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.8114133.3%47 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Bernard Tomic69c10,534$7,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.691,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bernard Tomic75c10,475$7,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.778,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bernard Tomic70c9,642$6,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.148,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Bernard Tomic68c7,303$4,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.2711754.7%64 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Matthew Forbes36c6,181$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.2561152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Matthew Forbes27c5,228$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38630440.5%123 W · 181 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Matthew Forbes36c2,639$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bernard Tomic71c1,561$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.748,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Matthew Forbes36c1,500$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.269,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Bernard Tomic77c1,429$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.284,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Matthew Forbes37c1,425$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.1952152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Matthew Forbes37c1,280$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.592,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67f9…d72ebacked Bernard Tomic66c1,224$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.036459.4%38 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Bernard Tomic71c1,222$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.4320565.4%134 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Bernard Tomic73c850$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.251,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Bernard Tomic64c834.2$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.313,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Matthew Forbes32c830.42$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.853,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Bernard Tomic65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3838557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Matthew Forbes35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Matthew Forbes34c468.86$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3525134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf30…5c23backed Matthew Forbes38c377.97$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.638844.3%39 W · 49 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Matthew Forbes36c341.69$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9655941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…ed1cbacked Bernard Tomic65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692025%5 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Matthew Forbes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Matthew Forbes32c300$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9722346.6%104 W · 119 L+15.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Bernard Tomic65c264.44$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5587741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Matthew Forbes14c257.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.775,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Matthew Forbes38c250.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.232,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Matthew Forbes33c236.59$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.084,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Bernard Tomic64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3891754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Bernard Tomic80c220.29$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.614,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Matthew Forbes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x572e…6382backed Bernard Tomic65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Matthew Forbes15c199.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.516,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bernard Tomic66c186.73$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.221,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Matthew Forbes17c184$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.281,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Bernard Tomic65c183.05$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.072,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Matthew Forbes34c174$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1626546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Matthew Forbes37c158.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.193,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Matthew Forbes37c156.3$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8392237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Bernard Tomic64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Bernard Tomic65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8520452.5%107 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Bernard Tomic65c140$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.91,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Bernard Tomic68c132.31$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8484857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Bernard Tomic66c130$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.711,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Matthew Forbes15c128$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.974,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Bernard Tomic64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Matthew Forbes16c123$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.582,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Bernard Tomic72c113$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6492674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Bernard Tomic64c109.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3839469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x820d…2236backed Matthew Forbes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154615.2%7 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Matthew Forbes16c98.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6748152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Matthew Forbes34c97.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3365434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Bernard Tomic63c92.48$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.224045%18 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Bernard Tomic77c91.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.526,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Bernard Tomic63c90.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6590152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Matthew Forbes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209715.5%15 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Bernard Tomic63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3767852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6847…f1eabacked Bernard Tomic64c77.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2313770.1%96 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Bernard Tomic65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9290854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Matthew Forbes35c75.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.481,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Matthew Forbes17c72.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4391051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Matthew Forbes30c69.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.831,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Matthew Forbes28c65.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.731,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Bernard Tomic71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.42,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Bernard Tomic65c59.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.772,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…ed16backed Matthew Forbes20c59.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Bernard Tomic64c55.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1348245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Matthew Forbes37c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.351,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Matthew Forbes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Matthew Forbes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.239851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Bernard Tomic63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.55362.3%33 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b6…5858backed Matthew Forbes37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.823030.4%70 W · 160 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Matthew Forbes34c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2626345.6%120 W · 143 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Bernard Tomic65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.464949%24 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Matthew Forbes41c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6422059.5%131 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Bernard Tomic64c31.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.421,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Bernard Tomic64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2581256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Bernard Tomic64c31.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.237549.3%37 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Bernard Tomic65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0642…422ebacked Bernard Tomic64c30.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.038158%47 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Matthew Forbes38c30.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.541,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0da8…54afbacked Bernard Tomic65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56556.9%37 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Bernard Tomic63c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8865157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Bernard Tomic68c22.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.169361.3%57 W · 36 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65a3…c1e3backed Bernard Tomic63c22.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Bernard Tomic77c20.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8344465.3%290 W · 154 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Bernard Tomic64c20.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.271,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Bernard Tomic63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.450340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Bernard Tomic66c18.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.233165%215 W · 116 L+22.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Bernard Tomic77c17.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9768857.3%394 W · 294 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c5…b5e9backed Bernard Tomic65c15.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5623162.8%145 W · 86 L+0.6wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Bernard Tomic66c15.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1574346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.