Tennis · resolved market
Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Bernard Tomic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdda71f8d0b2662b90630ba086ff589e428d3192b13648068d4aec2456887d775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bernard Tomicof Matthew Forbes, Bernard Tomic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Matthew Forbes | 25c | 25,000$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,124.99 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Matthew Forbes | 24c | 11,634$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.81 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Bernard Tomic | 69c | 10,534$7,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.69 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bernard Tomic | 75c | 10,475$7,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.77 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bernard Tomic | 70c | 9,642$6,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.14 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Bernard Tomic | 68c | 7,303$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.27 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Matthew Forbes | 36c | 6,181$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.25 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Matthew Forbes | 27c | 5,228$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Matthew Forbes | 36c | 2,639$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bernard Tomic | 71c | 1,561$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.74 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Matthew Forbes | 36c | 1,500$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.26 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bernard Tomic | 77c | 1,429$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.28 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Matthew Forbes | 37c | 1,425$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.19 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Matthew Forbes | 37c | 1,280$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.59 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d72ebacked Bernard Tomic | 66c | 1,224$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.03 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Bernard Tomic | 71c | 1,222$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.43 | 205 | 65.4%134 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Bernard Tomic | 73c | 850$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.25 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bernard Tomic | 64c | 834.2$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.31 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Matthew Forbes | 32c | 830.42$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.85 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Bernard Tomic | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Matthew Forbes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Matthew Forbes | 34c | 468.86$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.35 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Matthew Forbes | 38c | 377.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Matthew Forbes | 36c | 341.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…ed1cbacked Bernard Tomic | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Matthew Forbes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Matthew Forbes | 32c | 300$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | +15.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Bernard Tomic | 65c | 264.44$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matthew Forbes | 14c | 257.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Matthew Forbes | 38c | 250.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Matthew Forbes | 33c | 236.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Bernard Tomic | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bernard Tomic | 80c | 220.29$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Matthew Forbes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…6382backed Bernard Tomic | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Matthew Forbes | 15c | 199.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bernard Tomic | 66c | 186.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Matthew Forbes | 17c | 184$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Bernard Tomic | 65c | 183.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Matthew Forbes | 34c | 174$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Matthew Forbes | 37c | 158.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Matthew Forbes | 37c | 156.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Bernard Tomic | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Bernard Tomic | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bernard Tomic | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Bernard Tomic | 68c | 132.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bernard Tomic | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Matthew Forbes | 15c | 128$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Bernard Tomic | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Matthew Forbes | 16c | 123$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Bernard Tomic | 72c | 113$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Bernard Tomic | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x820d…2236backed Matthew Forbes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Matthew Forbes | 16c | 98.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Matthew Forbes | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Bernard Tomic | 63c | 92.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bernard Tomic | 77c | 91.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Bernard Tomic | 63c | 90.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Matthew Forbes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 15.5%15 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Bernard Tomic | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Bernard Tomic | 64c | 77.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Bernard Tomic | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Matthew Forbes | 35c | 75.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Matthew Forbes | 17c | 72.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Matthew Forbes | 30c | 69.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Matthew Forbes | 28c | 65.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bernard Tomic | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Bernard Tomic | 65c | 59.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…ed16backed Matthew Forbes | 20c | 59.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Bernard Tomic | 64c | 55.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Matthew Forbes | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Matthew Forbes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Matthew Forbes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Bernard Tomic | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Matthew Forbes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Matthew Forbes | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Bernard Tomic | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Matthew Forbes | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 220 | 59.5%131 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Bernard Tomic | 64c | 31.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Bernard Tomic | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Bernard Tomic | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Bernard Tomic | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…422ebacked Bernard Tomic | 64c | 30.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Matthew Forbes | 38c | 30.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…54afbacked Bernard Tomic | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Bernard Tomic | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Bernard Tomic | 68c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a3…c1e3backed Bernard Tomic | 63c | 22.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Bernard Tomic | 77c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bernard Tomic | 64c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Bernard Tomic | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Bernard Tomic | 66c | 18.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Bernard Tomic | 77c | 17.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 688 | 57.3%394 W · 294 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Bernard Tomic | 65c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Bernard Tomic | 66c | 15.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Bernard Tomicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Forbes vs TomicTomic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.