World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3fca784e7b87e538b5f770f88888bd77df794a856d494d8de4da1cf74a833bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 34c | 2,033$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1f9bbacked Yes | 2c | 638.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 65c | 407.93$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.75 | 309 | 44%136 W · 173 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 20c | 388.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 471 | 37.6%177 W · 294 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 74c | 317.58$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed No | 61c | 251.27$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 22c | 227.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 147 | 17%25 W · 122 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 71c | 222.82$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 7c | 215.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 235 | 11.9%28 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6235…7a5ebacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…d7ebbacked No | 76c | 145.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed Yes | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…ba1bbacked No | 69c | 137$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 31c | 133.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 11c | 132.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…fd41backed Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked No | 67c | 129.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked No | 69c | 127.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 71c | 126.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 214 | 64%137 W · 77 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 65c | 123.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 341 | 40.2%137 W · 204 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 14c | 111.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 73c | 106.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 100 | 73%73 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 74c | 105.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 68c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 338 | 55.3%187 W · 151 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 19c | 102.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 67c | 99.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 17c | 91.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 40c | 90.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…bd21backed Yes | 16c | 88.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 33c | 86.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…19d5backed Yes | 39c | 79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 36c | 78.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked Yes | 15c | 78.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 67c | 70.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 164 | 55.5%91 W · 73 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 69.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 553 | 51.2%283 W · 270 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 32c | 68.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 154 | 21.4%33 W · 121 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…8929backed Yes | 31c | 63.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…c595backed No | 80c | 62.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked Yes | 32c | 59.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa4…eae5backed Yes | 18c | 57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…56a3backed No | 64c | 56.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 30c | 55.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 187 | 34.8%65 W · 122 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 37c | 54.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 68c | 53.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 52.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…2fa1backed No | 65c | 50.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…6595backed Yes | 32c | 48.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 319 | 53.3%170 W · 149 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 63c | 44.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 28c | 42.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 59c | 42.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 71c | 41.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 247 | 60.3%149 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 30c | 39.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,350 | 44.4%600 W · 750 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 66c | 31.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 374 | 58%217 W · 157 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c63…8448backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 86 | 83.7%72 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 34c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 70c | 28.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…fabebacked No | 71c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 75cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b6c5backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…cbd8backed No | 65c | 25.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…871ebacked No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…443bbacked No | 72c | 24.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 62c | 24.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 73c | 24.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…149bbacked No | 66c | 23.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 76c | 23.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 23.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 73c | 22.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 68c | 21.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 66c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 64c | 20.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…6efcbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 72 | 77.8%56 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0022…c966backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 61c | 19.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed No | 70c | 17.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0aa…3259backed No | 63c | 16.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 71c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 71c | 15.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.