TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broom

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Charles Broomof Rio Noguchi, Charles Broom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef53…4591backed Rio Noguchi30c43,463$12,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,886.1417543.4%76 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Charles Broom75c8,689$6,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.088,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Charles Broom45c3,008$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.4411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Charles Broom66c1,775$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.354,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x74ab…ee2bbacked Charles Broom68c1,765$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.787451.4%38 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Rio Noguchi15c1,436$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.632,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Charles Broom74c1,238$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.726,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Charles Broom46c1,204$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.51,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…f750backed Charles Broom73c1,168$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.36966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Charles Broom46c1,094$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.041,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Rio Noguchi4c1,045$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5144018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba7…dd5abacked Charles Broom80c1,001$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0917554.3%95 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Charles Broom51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4909,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Charles Broom43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.0832637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked Rio Noguchi42c931.92$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1517649.4%87 W · 89 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa192…8876backed Rio Noguchi33c874.84$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3318543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Charles Broom53c772.45$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.4557950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Charles Broom77c718.09$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.934860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Rio Noguchi49c712.61$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.993,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Rio Noguchi5c689.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.466,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Charles Broom79c676.71$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.747,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Charles Broom46c652.32$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.457,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Charles Broom71c600$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.41,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Charles Broom46c600$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.627,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Rio Noguchi17c598.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Rio Noguchi16c588.43$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.211,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Charles Broom67c565.59$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9727836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3517…8e75backed Charles Broom41c491.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Charles Broom66c437.79$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7918258.8%107 W · 75 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Rio Noguchi56c417.27$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23345256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Charles Broom65c367.56$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3231948.9%156 W · 163 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Rio Noguchi33c359.72$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0227231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Rio Noguchi35c346.67$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5939446.7%184 W · 210 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Charles Broom65c342.63$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8931842.5%135 W · 183 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rio Noguchi10c326.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.436,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Charles Broom62c320.8$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.663,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Charles Broom44c316.07$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.731,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Charles Broom46c299$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6618542.7%79 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Charles Broom65c252.5$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.112,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4f…daa3backed Rio Noguchi23c235.35$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6220332.5%66 W · 137 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Charles Broom44c227.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7943158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f06…8ebebacked Rio Noguchi54c226.97$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3920553.7%110 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Rio Noguchi36c218.83$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.852,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Charles Broom47c214.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5927949.1%137 W · 142 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Charles Broom47c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.14,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Charles Broom70c198.01$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.781,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa37f…04f4backed Rio Noguchi54c188.89$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Charles Broom46c174.36$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1655941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Charles Broom41c170$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9838446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12dc…75a8backed Rio Noguchi9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152313%3 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Rio Noguchi18c155.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.225,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc169…8677backed Charles Broom69c153.83$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.831145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Rio Noguchi19c144.94$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…147fbacked Rio Noguchi13c142.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.29142.9%39 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Rio Noguchi54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7591754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Rio Noguchi39c135.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.974,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Rio Noguchi45c120.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.641,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Charles Broom77c116.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0256153.7%301 W · 260 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Charles Broom49c116.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.332,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Charles Broom45c110.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.245,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Rio Noguchi56c106.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.994,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Rio Noguchi54c100.05$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.051,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22b…ed02backed Rio Noguchi14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58b…ef84backed Charles Broom60c99.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9812441.1%51 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Charles Broom71c97.96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Rio Noguchi13c94.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.572,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Rio Noguchi22c92.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2548152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Rio Noguchi28c88.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528437.3%106 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd1…f311backed Rio Noguchi54c83.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4525551%130 W · 125 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aca…5d2bbacked Rio Noguchi56c83.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.579357%53 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Charles Broom46c82.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.642,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Rio Noguchi19c79.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0411838.1%45 W · 73 L-10.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Charles Broom62c73.72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.329149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Charles Broom46c71.36$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.531,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rio Noguchi21c70.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.818,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Charles Broom46c62.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.734,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Charles Broom66c62$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.142,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Charles Broom46c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.71,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Rio Noguchi55c58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6130746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00c…4820backed Rio Noguchi20c55.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.125827.6%16 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b92…a6e3backed Rio Noguchi23c52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Rio Noguchi21c51.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.776,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Charles Broom56c50.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.481,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Charles Broom47c50.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.892,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Charles Broom63c47.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4244138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Charles Broom49c45.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.291,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef9c…557abacked Rio Noguchi34c44.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7475…fc7ebacked Rio Noguchi55c43.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8110339.8%41 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Charles Broom61c39.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.453,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe01b…fa88backed Charles Broom78c38.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.229349.5%46 W · 47 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Rio Noguchi54c37.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.482,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Rio Noguchi53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014250%71 W · 71 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Charles Broom74c36.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2955149.7%274 W · 277 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da8…54afbacked Rio Noguchi56c35.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.66556.9%37 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Charles Broom46c32.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6828164.4%181 W · 100 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Charles Broom76c32.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.735461.3%217 W · 137 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Rio Noguchi53c30.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.321,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe37f…6635backed Charles Broom77c30.45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.154372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Charles Broom75c29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2229851.7%154 W · 144 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Charles Broom64c28.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1442350.8%215 W · 208 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.