Lol · resolved market
LoL Cross Regional 2026: DK vs FLY
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed6ff65a9fa3b4000e92ecce5b7f36a521c24d74f4c5368be4c8ff43154de026
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DKof DK, FLY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed FLY | 1c | 22,846$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.35 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed FLY | 2c | 16,163$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.24 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…c2d7backed FLY | 20c | 10,000$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FLY | 20c | 9,025$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.8 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked DK | 80c | 4,125$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 156 | 73.1%114 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed FLY | 21c | 3,501$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.27 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked DK | 80c | 3,278$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.78 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed FLY | 23c | 3,036$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.54 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FLY | 21c | 2,998$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.5 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed FLY | 22c | 2,658$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.73 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed FLY | 4c | 2,500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FLY | 21c | 2,380$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8579…185fbacked DK | 78c | 2,362$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.61 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed FLY | 12c | 1,807$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.16 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed FLY | 1c | 1,757$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked DK | 77c | 1,741$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.48 | 351 | 59.5%209 W · 142 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed FLY | 6c | 1,582$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed FLY | 25c | 1,477$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.14 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed DK | 79c | 1,265$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed DK | 80c | 1,255$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.16 | 342 | 37.7%129 W · 213 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…1dfdbacked FLY | 3c | 1,172$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed DK | 78c | 1,155$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.36 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked FLY | 1c | 1,123$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed FLY | 14c | 1,100$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked DK | 74c | 1,099$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.72 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked DK | 69c | 1,054$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.62 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…9405backed FLY | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 189 | 10.1%19 W · 170 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked FLY | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed DK | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked DK | 79c | 970$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed DK | 76c | 828.16$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.66 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked FLY | 20c | 706.69$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec8…8c9ebacked FLY | 8c | 665.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked DK | 78c | 644.18$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.72 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked DK | 80c | 640$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 520 | 62.3%324 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…6cf3backed FLY | 18c | 569.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…13f4backed DK | 80c | 540.5$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed DK | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb02…c292backed DK | 79c | 503.98$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked DK | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed FLY | 20c | 500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed DK | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed FLY | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FLY | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed DK | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked DK | 79c | 495.54$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed DK | 79c | 420.25$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked DK | 77c | 389.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked DK | 75c | 382$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked FLY | 5c | 375.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…5494backed FLY | 26c | 373.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed FLY | 21c | 366.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FLY | 69c | 356.34$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.87 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…f399backed DK | 78c | 350$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 694 | 42.1%292 W · 402 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed FLY | 21c | 333.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed DK | 79c | 317.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…e082backed FLY | 8c | 316.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…e613backed DK | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked FLY | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 350 | 45.1%158 W · 192 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed FLY | 18c | 282.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked DK | 79c | 279.18$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…6e94backed FLY | 29c | 260.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed DK | 79c | 260$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…6857backed FLY | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked DK | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked DK | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FLY | 22c | 213.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed DK | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 799 | 73.3%586 W · 213 L | +45.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4018…f37ebacked FLY | 22c | 192.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FLY | 27c | 189.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked DK | 75c | 183.24$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed FLY | 21c | 175$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked FLY | 9c | 166$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…b8e4backed DK | 76c | 149.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed DK | 79c | 148.65$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 131 | 56.5%74 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed FLY | 15c | 129.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 464 | 36.4%169 W · 295 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FLY | 16c | 129.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked DK | 79c | 123.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…c94abacked FLY | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked DK | 79c | 111.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed DK | 74c | 110.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked DK | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…433cbacked DK | 79c | 108.05$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed DK | 74c | 107.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed DK | 78c | 107$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…d36ebacked FLY | 17c | 104.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed FLY | 19c | 103.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…6e64backed FLY | 24c | 103.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed FLY | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 557 | 50.4%281 W · 276 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked FLY | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed FLY | 13c | 94.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…9a7fbacked DK | 79c | 91.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed DK | 74c | 80.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed DK | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 262 | 63.4%166 W · 96 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed DK | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 444 | 70%311 W · 133 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked FLY | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 692 | 47%325 W · 367 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed DK | 79c | 55.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed DK | 76c | 52.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 468 | 41.7%195 W · 273 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…9588backed DK | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 311 | 55.9%174 W · 137 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…7d44backed DK | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.