Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2df0ee32a6dbaa71c642a02f6fa0119e8c378e095172965e9cf5ed4e14ee0cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a88…9e52backed No | 0c | 7,512$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 16c | 1,336$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.81 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 10c | 769.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 6c | 687.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 72c | 639.01$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.69 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…0918backed Yes | 17c | 499.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.97 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 36c | 494.53$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.43 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 15c | 460.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 5c | 444.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.47 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 80c | 437.73$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.82 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 79c | 422.56$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.48 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 18c | 399.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.98 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 6c | 368.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.14 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 56c | 368.04$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.58 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed No | 26c | 363.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 55c | 356.18$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 20c | 354.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.07 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 29c | 327.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 79c | 307.02$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.55 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75e…ca32backed Yes | 24c | 294.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 52c | 287.86$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.89 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Yes | 16c | 259.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.03 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 30c | 244.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.24 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 60c | 237.47$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 12c | 228.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 6c | 206.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 15c | 177.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…d614backed Yes | 25c | 169.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 9c | 166.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 20c | 166$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 51c | 158.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 71c | 150.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 148.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 132$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 129.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 73c | 128.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 14c | 125.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 9c | 125.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 119$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 33c | 111.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 18c | 100.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes | 15c | 100.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 347 | 48.7%169 W · 178 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…6998backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…c972backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…136dbacked Yes | 25c | 98.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +293.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 54c | 96.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 15c | 95.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 22c | 93.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…bf48backed Yes | 22c | 92.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 19c | 90.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b47…c0dabacked Yes | 23c | 86.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…fd0abacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 24c | 86.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1d02…54b8backed Yes | 25c | 77.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 26c | 76.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Yes | 24c | 75.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…8b76backed No | 78c | 75.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 27c | 74.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 68c | 72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f3…0ffabacked Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 17c | 69.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…f74fbacked Yes | 18c | 68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…2440backed No | 69c | 64.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8462…b8bebacked Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dea…8f0ebacked Yes | 24c | 54.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…11f5backed Yes | 26c | 50.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 76c | 45.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 343 | 69.4%238 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…fb04backed Yes | 54c | 44.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 25c | 40.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed No | 25c | 40.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 133 | 15%20 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 73c | 31.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 40c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked No | 63c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 54c | 29.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 79c | 29.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 76c | 26.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…6985backed No | 78c | 26.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5d73backed Yes | 80c | 25.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd6…43afbacked No | 80c | 24.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 75c | 22.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb848…c5c7backed No | 78c | 21.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…0746backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…ef7fbacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 75c | 18.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…1a87backed No | 77c | 18.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.