Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa0c5842b8335b8849cfa18dad31d55ec22fc649b220cfb8dfed41e155356e0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6261…2e11backed Yes | 4c | 8,292$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 62c | 922.98$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.51 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…f288backed Yes | 69c | 878.43$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 65c | 696.69$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 35c | 506.02$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.24 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 35c | 479.32$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.81 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 70c | 421$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.38 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 53c | 367.47$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.76 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 37c | 315.78$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.71 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 34c | 284.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.68 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e4…80dfbacked No | 78c | 257.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…2721backed No | 58c | 238.3$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 47c | 225.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 34c | 224.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked No | 37c | 209.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.73 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 30c | 157.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…80dbbacked Yes | 66c | 153.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Yes | 48c | 152.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 232 | 41.8%97 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 30c | 136.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b6c5backed No | 77c | 129.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 60c | 128.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 35c | 127.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed No | 36c | 126$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 66c | 112.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 61c | 109$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…6c5bbacked Yes | 65c | 108.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked Yes | 65c | 104$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 29c | 103.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040a…118dbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 51c | 88.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 34c | 86.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 33c | 82.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 64c | 76.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 34c | 70.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed No | 35c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Yes | 66c | 69.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 38c | 68.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 32c | 66.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 54c | 63.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 31c | 58.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…c133backed Yes | 69c | 57.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 55.7%103 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…3ff6backed No | 37c | 57.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked Yes | 71c | 54.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…2b25backed No | 75c | 53.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 329 | 58.7%193 W · 136 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…73e3backed No | 47c | 52.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 52c | 51.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 57c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 61c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 42c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 39c | 46.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 34c | 45.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…f41fbacked No | 48c | 43.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 29c | 41.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 52c | 41.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked No | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 257 | 58%149 W · 108 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 32c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 40c | 38.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 37c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 37c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 68c | 37.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 285 | 46.3%132 W · 153 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed No | 53c | 36.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 35c | 35.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 37c | 35.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…7817backed Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed No | 34c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 33c | 31.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Yes | 65c | 31.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…b7cabacked Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 38c | 27.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 468 | 57.3%268 W · 200 L | -22.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…e538backed Yes | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…4736backed Yes | 48c | 26.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…bc49backed Yes | 66c | 24.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…d610backed Yes | 45c | 23.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed No | 80c | 22.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 48c | 21.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…167ebacked Yes | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…363ebacked Yes | 68c | 20.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ce…9040backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…86b1backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…6ee3backed No | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 61c | 18.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.