Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffdc138459d19fa3610292c39156b965b4e5d38cac462d5ee29531954b491f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 51c | 3,464$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.26 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 36c | 1,581$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.45 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 26c | 625.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.95 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 66c | 612.94$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.14 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 28c | 568.66$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.08 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 64c | 404.94$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.34 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 64c | 340$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 55c | 340$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 50c | 306.9$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 298.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 39c | 230.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 217.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 60c | 212.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.55 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 64c | 209$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 16c | 190$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 23c | 183.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 55c | 166$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b929backed Yes | 64c | 156.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed Yes | 39c | 149.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 50c | 149.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 59c | 139.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 36c | 138.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…ecb6backed Yes | 67c | 137.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 46c | 107.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 49c | 105.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e05dbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 55c | 98.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 53c | 97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10d…8f16backed No | 63c | 94.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 74c | 93.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 62c | 86.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 65c | 84.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 64c | 84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 66c | 84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked No | 62c | 83.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 76c | 74.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Yes | 63c | 71.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 47c | 70.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…ea97backed Yes | 35c | 70.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 52c | 65.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 36c | 64.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 52c | 64.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 49c | 60.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 49c | 57.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…844dbacked No | 75c | 55.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 128 | 76.6%98 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 25c | 54.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 53.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 52c | 53.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 64c | 53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…aac9backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 50.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 33c | 49.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 50c | 48.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 63c | 46.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 59c | 45.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 43c | 45.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 52c | 43.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7406…162bbacked No | 69c | 42.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 74c | 42.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a2…a1a7backed Yes | 37c | 40.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…8de9backed No | 69c | 40.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 64c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 39c | 38.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 38.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 56c | 37.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 56c | 36.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 53c | 32.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…2b99backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 42c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee66…b679backed No | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 79c | 27.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 64c | 27.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f7…b1a8backed No | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…99a0backed Yes | 58c | 24.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 79c | 23.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…0543backed No | 66c | 21.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed No | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 79c | 20.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 18.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 63c | 18.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…f207backed No | 64c | 17.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed No | 63c | 16.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 173 | 61.8%107 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 75c | 14.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 73c | 13.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 112°F or higher on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 110-111°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.