TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8a0c…6c72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 51 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Quetta Gladiatorsbacked Quetta Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.15
T20 Series Namibia vs Scotland: Namibia vs Scotlandbacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.63
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.19
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Quetta Gladiatorsbacked Peshawar Zalmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$38.4
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Rawalpindi Pindizbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.75
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.66
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiatorsbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$30.06
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$79.32
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+55.6%+$452.29
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+155.9%+$504.71
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+74.4%+$487.2
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,457.18
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$442.73
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$56.51
T20 World Cup: Italy vs West Indies (Game 1)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+26.5%+$18.52
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+111%+$106.56
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$32.93
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+43.4%+$29.9
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.7%+$17.72
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+48.4%+$25.55
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+150%+$29.07
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$180.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.