TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Youngstown State Penguins vs. Robert Morris Colonials

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Robert Morris Colonialsof Youngstown State Penguins, Robert Morris Colonials
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,553 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Robert Morris Colonials65c7,710$4,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.861,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Robert Morris Colonials59c4,439$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.39652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Robert Morris Colonials64c3,333$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.882,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Robert Morris Colonials73c2,574$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.271,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Youngstown State Penguins36c1,937$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.2784147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Youngstown State Penguins35c1,833$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.6889850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Youngstown State Penguins36c1,659$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.1812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Youngstown State Penguins39c1,596$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.832,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Youngstown State Penguins35c1,499$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.3461652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Youngstown State Penguins6c1,363$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.613551.4%18 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Youngstown State Penguins36c1,345$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0140755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Youngstown State Penguins34c1,168$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3655532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Youngstown State Penguins36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.812,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Youngstown State Penguins33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33021549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Robert Morris Colonials75c887.97$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.914,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Youngstown State Penguins32c884.74$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.672,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Robert Morris Colonials68c823.29$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.793,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Youngstown State Penguins28c718.18$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.651,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Youngstown State Penguins48c662.46$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3649345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Youngstown State Penguins21c625.55$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.125534.5%19 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Youngstown State Penguins36c619.96$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.192268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+43.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Youngstown State Penguins33c479.24$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.181,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Robert Morris Colonials63c460.96$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.661,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Youngstown State Penguins38c445.44$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.31,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Youngstown State Penguins38c376.07$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6877142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Youngstown State Penguins16c374.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Youngstown State Penguins36c366.73$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0250548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Youngstown State Penguins36c312.7$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6525246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Youngstown State Penguins35c283.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3239742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Youngstown State Penguins37c279.42$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3812147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Youngstown State Penguins36c277.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.994,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Robert Morris Colonials64c251.19$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.435,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Youngstown State Penguins36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9089146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Youngstown State Penguins37c226.52$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.423,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Youngstown State Penguins35c198.41$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.441,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Robert Morris Colonials66c176.93$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8510244.1%45 W · 57 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Robert Morris Colonials57c174.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2835852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Youngstown State Penguins23c159.79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.991,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Robert Morris Colonials59c158.74$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.895,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Robert Morris Colonials66c138.88$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2230649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Youngstown State Penguins37c134.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5931647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Robert Morris Colonials59c133.62$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.21,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Youngstown State Penguins36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4562140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Youngstown State Penguins37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2481528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Robert Morris Colonials58c112$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.298641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Robert Morris Colonials63c104.14$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5320834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Youngstown State Penguins30c99.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.782,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Youngstown State Penguins35c88.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.950745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Youngstown State Penguins35c85.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Robert Morris Colonials64c78.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.919470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Youngstown State Penguins37c66.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.813450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Robert Morris Colonials66c66.54$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2922950.7%116 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Robert Morris Colonials65c63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0516755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Youngstown State Penguins37c60.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.241,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Youngstown State Penguins37c59.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0261244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Youngstown State Penguins39c59.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.227055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Robert Morris Colonials57c59.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.461,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Youngstown State Penguins31c58.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8918844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d75…12a6backed Youngstown State Penguins36c53.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.384866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Youngstown State Penguins37c53.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.843542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Youngstown State Penguins35c42.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9325837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Youngstown State Penguins36c41.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Youngstown State Penguins36c41.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9458652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcffd…7f24backed Robert Morris Colonials66c41.34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.061968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed Youngstown State Penguins36c41.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.883951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Youngstown State Penguins37c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1748551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Youngstown State Penguins37c40.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1532850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Robert Morris Colonials61c40.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.859747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Robert Morris Colonials56c39.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3210259.8%61 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Youngstown State Penguins28c35.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.065056%28 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Youngstown State Penguins36c34.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.526550.6%134 W · 131 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…8d29backed Robert Morris Colonials65c33.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.812152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Robert Morris Colonials64c31.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5117945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8d…c1cbbacked Robert Morris Colonials65c30.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Robert Morris Colonials65c29.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.539050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Robert Morris Colonials63c29.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0114643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Youngstown State Penguins36c29.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7157335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Youngstown State Penguins41c28.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.551,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Robert Morris Colonials57c21.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Robert Morris Colonials59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa771…c2c1backed Robert Morris Colonials66c18.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.