TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jesper de Jongof Jesper de Jong, Roberto Carballes Baena
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63f5…09ddbacked Roberto Carballes Baena1c10,920$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.27811.5%9 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+74.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27cc…884bbacked Roberto Carballes Baena21c7,925$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.382347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Roberto Carballes Baena17c6,200$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.4347728.1%134 W · 343 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Roberto Carballes Baena18c4,476$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80038652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Roberto Carballes Baena16c3,030$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50054541.7%227 W · 318 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena21c1,905$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Roberto Carballes Baena4c1,668$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.842,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e70…582fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena19c1,661$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.342227.3%6 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Roberto Carballes Baena38c1,571$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.161,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Jesper de Jong78c1,414$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.7336157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jesper de Jong78c1,265$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.374,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Roberto Carballes Baena13c1,228$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.66,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Roberto Carballes Baena38c978.55$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.84858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Jesper de Jong62c973.55$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.951,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Roberto Carballes Baena18c844.44$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15271725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Roberto Carballes Baena24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20057321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Jesper de Jong65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2325556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Jesper de Jong79c724.05$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.051,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Roberto Carballes Baena19c658.58$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.131,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2363…a20dbacked Roberto Carballes Baena16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011028.2%31 W · 79 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Roberto Carballes Baena12c617.76$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7548935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Jesper de Jong62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22837944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Roberto Carballes Baena17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007716.9%13 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Jesper de Jong72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.562955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Roberto Carballes Baena37c531.89$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.82,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Roberto Carballes Baena12c513.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5238422.4%86 W · 298 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Roberto Carballes Baena7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7fea…dc5abacked Roberto Carballes Baena27c423.34$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Roberto Carballes Baena11c331.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.273,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Jesper de Jong63c320.82$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.721,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Jesper de Jong64c307.7$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.771,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Jesper de Jong66c301.47$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5622856.1%128 W · 100 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Roberto Carballes Baena36c299.49$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.827,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Jesper de Jong75c294.8$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.71,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Jesper de Jong79c262.83$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.621,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Jesper de Jong77c256$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8838952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena41c245.73$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.751,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fb…6e68backed Roberto Carballes Baena8c245.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+299.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Roberto Carballes Baena32c236.66$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.043,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Roberto Carballes Baena19c210.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9926134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Roberto Carballes Baena36c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24fd…1250backed Roberto Carballes Baena20c190.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.034729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Jesper de Jong68c189$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.161,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jesper de Jong73c160.18$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.082,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Jesper de Jong78c150.6$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1334748.1%167 W · 180 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Jesper de Jong78c141.51$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1343062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Jesper de Jong79c132.14$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1136545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Jesper de Jong79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5815261.2%93 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Jesper de Jong79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5848355.1%266 W · 217 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena13c125.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.366,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Roberto Carballes Baena20c125.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.414,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Roberto Carballes Baena28c120.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.161,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Jesper de Jong63c106.35$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3539254.1%212 W · 180 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf85e…5cd5backed Jesper de Jong79c105.06$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.063268.8%22 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Jesper de Jong63c103$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1137158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Roberto Carballes Baena13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Jesper de Jong64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Roberto Carballes Baena51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5161924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb80b…b047backed Roberto Carballes Baena22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2250%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Jesper de Jong80c99.61$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.159253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Roberto Carballes Baena35c84.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b82…2e22backed Roberto Carballes Baena19c83.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165933.9%20 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa276…dcfabacked Roberto Carballes Baena37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304652.2%24 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6bb…a47fbacked Jesper de Jong62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.656767.2%45 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Jesper de Jong75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018557.8%107 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Jesper de Jong63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3769253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Roberto Carballes Baena37c79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.231,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Jesper de Jong64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1336264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Jesper de Jong64c77.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8970456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Roberto Carballes Baena42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jesper de Jong62c66.11$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.993,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena23c64.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7719349.7%96 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d9…3be3backed Roberto Carballes Baena38c63.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2416459.8%98 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena37c56.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2126734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de8…10ffbacked Roberto Carballes Baena37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206747.8%32 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Roberto Carballes Baena35c53.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.852,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Jesper de Jong65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.851,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a0…7d2ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205248.1%25 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena37c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6574955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Jesper de Jong79c41.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.761,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Jesper de Jong78c34.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3685742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Jesper de Jong63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd371…8f17backed Roberto Carballes Baena47c31.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Jesper de Jong64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2559965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Jesper de Jong64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Roberto Carballes Baena36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.822230.6%68 W · 154 L-25.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Jesper de Jong77c26.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0141768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x873d…f7a9backed Jesper de Jong80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55858.6%34 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Jesper de Jong75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b36…9f34backed Jesper de Jong64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4413151.1%67 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena50c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Jesper de Jong62c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.747,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Jesper de Jong76c19.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6723272.8%169 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Jesper de Jong64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf051…900ebacked Jesper de Jong77c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5310368.9%71 W · 32 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf750…0df2backed Jesper de Jong79c12.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.662781.5%22 W · 5 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+40.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.