TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Lukas Neumayer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Coleman Wongof Coleman Wong, Lukas Neumayer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb399…608ebacked Coleman Wong67c42,149$28,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,065.413246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Lukas Neumayer33c14,941$4,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,930.511,21746.3%563 W · 654 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lukas Neumayer5c14,324$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.269,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lukas Neumayer33c10,406$3,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,480.5811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Lukas Neumayer2c7,175$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.721,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Lukas Neumayer33c5,369$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.823,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Lukas Neumayer36c3,576$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.325856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Lukas Neumayer7c3,515$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.514,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Lukas Neumayer31c3,239$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.931,13145.4%514 W · 617 L-34.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Lukas Neumayer26c2,053$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7443652.1%227 W · 209 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Lukas Neumayer36c2,000$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.583,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lukas Neumayer34c1,839$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.222,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lukas Neumayer32c1,732$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.938,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Lukas Neumayer34c1,278$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.617350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked Coleman Wong66c1,078$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.623959%23 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Coleman Wong64c1,020$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2888157.9%510 W · 371 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Coleman Wong64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36013752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Coleman Wong68c735.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8894968.1%646 W · 303 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Coleman Wong63c600.18$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0686050.1%431 W · 429 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedec…3b5fbacked Lukas Neumayer37c534.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lukas Neumayer16c495.93$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.94,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x55e2…edc8backed Coleman Wong62c493.55$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.553100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae0b…0913backed Coleman Wong66c492.42$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.422441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lukas Neumayer13c490.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.683,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Coleman Wong66c483.49$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Lukas Neumayer33c402$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6653946.9%253 W · 286 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83bd…3f07backed Lukas Neumayer13c387.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507542.7%32 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Lukas Neumayer18c372.24$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6775543.4%328 W · 427 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lukas Neumayer35c368$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0936434.3%125 W · 239 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Lukas Neumayer37c351$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.871,04750%524 W · 523 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4011…4a39backed Lukas Neumayer9c274.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411039.1%43 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Lukas Neumayer33c270$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.11,00857.7%582 W · 426 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffe…a60fbacked Coleman Wong72c244.67$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6116967.5%114 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Lukas Neumayer38c231.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1632049.1%157 W · 163 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Coleman Wong64c224.03$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6514756.5%83 W · 64 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Coleman Wong64c216.98$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1132545.2%147 W · 178 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a89…bb33backed Coleman Wong64c207.3$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.635532.7%18 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Lukas Neumayer37c202.32$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8614850.7%75 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lukas Neumayer34c202.04$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.635,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lukas Neumayer20c201.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.089,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Coleman Wong64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Coleman Wong64c200$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3616653.6%89 W · 77 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Coleman Wong77c196.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.571,87853.2%1,000 W · 878 L+30.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Coleman Wong65c192$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.298055.4%543 W · 437 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Coleman Wong64c190.15$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.991,75449.1%862 W · 892 L+56.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Coleman Wong66c189.61$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8523364.4%150 W · 83 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Coleman Wong64c187.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.565250.3%328 W · 324 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe809…039bbacked Lukas Neumayer38c178.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.713447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Lukas Neumayer33c169.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.036254.8%34 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21fc…de4abacked Lukas Neumayer37c154.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.33036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Coleman Wong63c154.42$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.591,70248.3%822 W · 880 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Lukas Neumayer12c143.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9456926%148 W · 421 L-23.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6e…1256backed Lukas Neumayer37c131.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6826443.9%116 W · 148 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Coleman Wong66c121.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5641664.4%268 W · 148 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Coleman Wong64c116.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.975,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Lukas Neumayer33c113.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.67,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Lukas Neumayer34c111$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.666,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Coleman Wong64c107.08$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.556149.2%30 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Lukas Neumayer37c105.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9626346.8%123 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Coleman Wong65c97.76$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2223640.7%96 W · 140 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Lukas Neumayer23c96.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.251,74548.1%840 W · 905 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Coleman Wong65c95.63$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.923,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Coleman Wong64c81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1645752.7%241 W · 216 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Lukas Neumayer38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.490834.1%310 W · 598 L-43.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Coleman Wong68c79.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.342,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Coleman Wong67c67.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2537549.1%184 W · 191 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Coleman Wong65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2120047.5%95 W · 105 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd3…1c3cbacked Lukas Neumayer37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205424.1%13 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Lukas Neumayer37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa261…af5bbacked Coleman Wong68c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3214254.9%78 W · 64 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Coleman Wong80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Coleman Wong63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6283056.1%466 W · 364 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Coleman Wong64c43.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7530969.6%215 W · 94 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Lukas Neumayer23c43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0438951.2%199 W · 190 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Lukas Neumayer32c39.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.791,28965.2%841 W · 448 L+11.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a75…006ebacked Lukas Neumayer38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa48e…b476backed Coleman Wong67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3117639.8%70 W · 106 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Lukas Neumayer34c36.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3871045.4%322 W · 388 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…781ebacked Coleman Wong64c32.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.812259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed Coleman Wong62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2637060%222 W · 148 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7815…7310backed Coleman Wong64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Coleman Wong65c25.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8912654.8%69 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Coleman Wong63c24.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2279062.2%491 W · 299 L+25.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Coleman Wong64c22.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0259347.4%281 W · 312 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Coleman Wong76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8514496.5%139 W · 5 L+36.7wins+0.25per pick71cpaid+34.3%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Coleman Wong65c18.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3359565.4%389 W · 206 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.