MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05ff1067b2364ce08405755318bf741631756ee48a174c47262005618529c0f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 99,467$57,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,776.33 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 73,741$31,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,072.46 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 34,322$14,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,072.22 | 281 | 54.1%152 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 33,986$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,986.05 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 19,197$7,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,432.72 | 4,427 | 47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L | -77.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 12,577$5,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,825.92 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 10,755$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,054.72 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 10,473$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.77 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 9,836$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,013.95 | 986 | 45%444 W · 542 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 8,520$3,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,706.48 | 634 | 43.5%276 W · 358 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 8,334$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917.32 | 4,445 | 45%2,001 W · 2,444 L | +87.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…53aebacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 5,875$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 5,368$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.46 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Miami Marlins | 16c | 5,246$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.33 | 269 | 62.1%167 W · 102 L | +44.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 4,353$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.86 | 4,120 | 57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L | +67.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 3,782$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.57 | 594 | 52.9%314 W · 280 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,698 | 50.2%853 W · 845 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 3,450$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449 | 720 | 53.3%384 W · 336 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 76c | 3,364$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.94 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…1623backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 3,332$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 3,269$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.18 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf44…3a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 997 | 50.1%499 W · 498 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 2,951$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.56 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 2,945$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.28 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 2,902$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.97 | 901 | 49.1%442 W · 459 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb306…2086backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 2,385$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 2,347$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.85 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 2,165$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.65 | 374 | 49.2%184 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 2,121$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.79 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 2,026$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.92 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,989$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.22 | 1,258 | 44%553 W · 705 L | -33.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,975$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.5 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…1fbebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 1,723$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.81 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,628$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.58 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,481$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.34 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,480$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.63 | 2,175 | 51.5%1,121 W · 1,054 L | +54.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 1,450$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.5 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,425$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.63 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…1b78backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 1,419$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +188.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,380$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.8 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,288$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.62 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,240$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.86 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,157$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.77 | 1,697 | 49.1%834 W · 863 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,145$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.3 | 367 | 53.1%195 W · 172 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,130$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.35 | 5,182 | 54.6%2,829 W · 2,353 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,079$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.85 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,072$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.61 | 1,543 | 51.1%789 W · 754 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,026$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.86 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…b081backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,007$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 978.25$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 360 | 52.2%188 W · 172 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 966.66$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.33 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 888$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.08 | 881 | 52.9%466 W · 415 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 841.36$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.45 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 830.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 59 | 6.8%4 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 803$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.2 | 458 | 53.7%246 W · 212 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc116…243bbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 780.12$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 774.4$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 1,878 | 52.1%978 W · 900 L | +52.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Miami Marlins | 16c | 759.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.51 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 757.77$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.59 | 944 | 56.5%533 W · 411 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 726.19$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafef…f50ebacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 702.25$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 60 | 3.3%2 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 681.77$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 1,975 | 41.3%815 W · 1,160 L | -27.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 678.39$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.03 | 1,906 | 49.3%940 W · 966 L | +25.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 589.67$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.04 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 551$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.25 | 1,478 | 51%754 W · 724 L | -19.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 529$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.18 | 2,372 | 49.7%1,179 W · 1,193 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 526.54$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.15 | 2,327 | 51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 505$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 350 | 50.9%178 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 493.25$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.23 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 466.58$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.58 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 460.35$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.19 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Miami Marlins | 31c | 453.71$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 487 | 45.2%220 W · 267 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 442.82$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.22 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 437.43$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.1 | 1,267 | 58.5%741 W · 526 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 434.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.4 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 432.3$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.54 | 533 | 57.6%307 W · 226 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 422.67$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.29 | 330 | 48.2%159 W · 171 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 421.57$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.92 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 410.82$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 580 | 58.4%339 W · 241 L | +28.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 403$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 1,109 | 79.5%882 W · 227 L | +31.8wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 400$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 1,939 | 44.5%862 W · 1,077 L | -29.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5176…a132backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 391.75$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.