Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08c103425d92bd128a942db9278bdc923e3f841e95aaedf32996bd0d99130aa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,094$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 1,067$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 1,037$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.25 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 556.9$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 12c | 498.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 23c | 497.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 77c | 418.16$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 66c | 417.15$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…fa82backed Yes | 4c | 304$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 80c | 303.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 301.81$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…265cbacked Yes | 6c | 292.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 79c | 284.43$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 23c | 258.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 60c | 237.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…7683backed No | 74c | 224.5$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 9c | 214.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 17c | 202.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 34c | 192.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 65c | 189.26$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 40c | 188.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 67c | 179.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 35c | 169.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 6c | 168.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 63c | 163.28$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 77c | 157.28$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 7c | 156.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 155.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 16c | 155.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Yes | 34c | 154.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 15c | 149.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7561…46a8backed Yes | 27c | 149.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 37c | 136.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 37c | 136.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 74c | 127.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 34c | 127.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 34c | 118.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 36c | 117.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 66c | 113.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 108.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 17c | 108$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed No | 74c | 98.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 34c | 98.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 33c | 98.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…8147backed Yes | 18c | 94.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 22c | 94.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 38c | 85.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 25c | 81.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7461…3515backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…e428backed Yes | 16c | 79.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 27c | 76.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 75c | 74.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 15c | 72.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 66c | 67.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 68c | 67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…b3c2backed No | 65c | 61.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 72c | 60.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 35c | 57.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 65c | 53.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 65c | 52.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd731…4199backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 73.9%68 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 37c | 49.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…594abacked Yes | 33c | 46.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 66c | 45.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe543…6aa0backed Yes | 31c | 43.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 69c | 42.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 69c | 41.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b929backed No | 72c | 41.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 27c | 39.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…9202backed Yes | 37c | 39.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 37.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 34c | 35.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 37c | 33.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 63c | 33.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…6c1ebacked No | 76c | 33.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 106 | 71.7%76 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…d402backed Yes | 37c | 31.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Yes | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…f629backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 68c | 24.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 62c | 24.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 63c | 23.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 66c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 62c | 21.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.