Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e7652c275aca13711b26b6263aa921706cc45958f3d171446da08a480b3dd8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 38c | 5,284$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.26 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,724$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.46 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 80c | 1,000$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 7c | 906.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 63c | 891$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 28c | 743.66$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.69 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 15c | 715.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 678.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 63c | 618.52$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.48 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 60c | 557.08$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.77 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 77c | 532.85$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 60c | 500$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.04 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 492$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.28 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 43c | 489.1$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.09 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 45c | 450.95$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.63 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 10c | 423.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 46c | 421.88$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 402.8$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Yes | 33c | 376.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 45c | 350$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 42c | 337.8$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 41c | 308.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 5c | 284.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 34c | 266.54$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 252.23$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 67c | 250$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 226.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 43c | 224.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 13c | 220$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 56c | 216.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 33c | 209.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 202.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 35c | 201.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 64c | 200.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 41c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 170 | 25.3%43 W · 127 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 60c | 187.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 152$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 29c | 151.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7561…46a8backed Yes | 49c | 149$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 61c | 139.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 27c | 131.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…4dd6backed Yes | 22c | 130$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 23c | 121.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 116.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 32c | 116.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 44c | 110.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 105.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 63c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 64c | 101.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 50c | 101.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…3adfbacked Yes | 47c | 92.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked No | 74c | 90.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked No | 58c | 90.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 57c | 90.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 55c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 39c | 88.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 31c | 86.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 67c | 86.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…265cbacked Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 42c | 79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 57c | 75.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3f…bc25backed No | 63c | 71.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 69c | 70.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 63c | 70.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 70.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 33c | 70.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 44c | 69.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 64c | 68.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 40c | 64.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…5737backed Yes | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 63.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…d08cbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 24c | 60.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 63c | 57.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 18c | 57.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 26c | 56.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 64c | 56.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 61c | 56.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 78c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 73c | 54.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 42c | 52.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 51c | 52.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…7683backed Yes | 45c | 51.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.