Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bb7d91c9de9eb3846bf06987798ee66bf3b4d4a12c14198593aface31865168
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invictus Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $586,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $678,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 36,068$5,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226.92 | 825 | 43.3%357 W · 468 L | +29.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…1681backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 35,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 32,548$7,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,066.05 | 745 | 41.1%306 W · 439 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 29,027$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,676.32 | 398 | 35.2%140 W · 258 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 25,532$5,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,567.07 | 494 | 32.8%162 W · 332 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 23,413$3,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,926.36 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 17,797$4,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,271.19 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 17,000$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.99 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 14,761$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.25 | 652 | 54.9%358 W · 294 L | +25.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 14,610$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.54 | 1,244 | 35.7%444 W · 800 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…d05abacked Invictus Gaming | 77c | 13,012$9,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.75 | 233 | 67.8%158 W · 75 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…93aebacked Invictus Gaming | 77c | 12,949$9,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Invictus Gaming | 77c | 11,418$8,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.1 | 394 | 48%189 W · 205 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d2…1a3ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 11,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…9340backed Invictus Gaming | 77c | 10,681$8,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…4277backed Invictus Gaming | 75c | 10,291$7,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.82 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Invictus Gaming | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…5213backed Invictus Gaming | 76c | 9,000$6,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Invictus Gaming | 75c | 8,750$6,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.5 | 1,177 | 49.4%581 W · 596 L | -16.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 8,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 647 | 7%45 W · 602 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2627…fa13backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 8,000$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 7,800$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.7 | 178 | 43.8%78 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…b092backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 7,581$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 7,404$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 778 | 30.2%235 W · 543 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 6,400$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879 | 985 | 27.8%274 W · 711 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 5,153$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 293 | 51.2%150 W · 143 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 5,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 357 | 51.5%184 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 4,479$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.62 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 4,250$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 220 | 46.8%103 W · 117 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Invictus Gaming | 76c | 4,085$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.4 | 800 | 49.9%399 W · 401 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…7db2backed Invictus Gaming | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 306 | 21.6%66 W · 240 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 3,905$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.26 | 1,817 | 51.1%929 W · 888 L | +52.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…f67fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 2,997$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 78 | 5.1%4 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 2,500$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.94 | 1,483 | 28.9%428 W · 1,055 L | +23.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 2,500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 1,206 | 44.7%539 W · 667 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 2,462$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 2,318$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.46 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…8554backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 2,316$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 2,238$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.34 | 2,279 | 33%753 W · 1,526 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 2,172$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 387 | 24.3%94 W · 293 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 2,026$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.01 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 228 | 57%130 W · 98 L | +21.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…69e5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 2,000$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 165 | 23.6%39 W · 126 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a59…68fbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…6b5ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf66…3ba0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 1,803$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.82 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…d632backed Invictus Gaming | 76c | 1,746$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 1,703$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.57 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…45f8backed Invictus Gaming | 77c | 1,701$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ba25backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 1,618$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.65 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 1,600$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 358 | 36.9%132 W · 226 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…a875backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 1,596$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.26 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,340 | 53.2%713 W · 627 L | +38.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Invictus Gaming | 75c | 1,465$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.25 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 1,438$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 1,386$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.36 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 1,361$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 1,333$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Invictus Gaming | 76c | 1,178$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.89 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 1,100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 588 | 10%59 W · 529 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac3…66d8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 1,076$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 1,050$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 569 | 32%182 W · 387 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…bd7fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,530 | 3.3%50 W · 1,480 L | -54.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8e…8212backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 1,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 999.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 727 | 15.1%110 W · 617 L | -32.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 976.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Invictus Gaming | 79c | 944.28$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.3 | 903 | 43.9%396 W · 507 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Invictus Gaming | 75c | 933$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.95 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Invictus Gaming | 78c | 896$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.12 | 233 | 44.6%104 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d9…ac79backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 876.74$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 843.76$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 1,971 | 42.5%837 W · 1,134 L | -43.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 838$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 826.71$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.18 | 275 | 28.7%79 W · 196 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…3338backed Invictus Gaming | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 761.6$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.17 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…86b1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 751.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 725$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 334 | 55.4%185 W · 149 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…56cfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 128 | 25%32 W · 96 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee30…29f8backed Invictus Gaming | 78c | 700$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a30bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 693.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 687$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 3,206 | 34%1,089 W · 2,117 L | -150.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9247…7789backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 650$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 633$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 581 | 44.9%261 W · 320 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 605.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 2,088 | 30.6%639 W · 1,449 L | -176.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 209 | 34.4%72 W · 137 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 599.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 178 | 32.6%58 W · 120 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 566$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.18 | 242 | 31.8%77 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 560$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 545 | 40.7%222 W · 323 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 547.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 545.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 20.6%68 W · 262 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 501.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 798 | 46.9%374 W · 424 L | +23.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 417 | 48.7%203 W · 214 L | +30.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,079 | 55%593 W · 486 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,437 | 43.6%627 W · 810 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Invictus Gaming | 79c | 473.6$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bb…8295backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 462.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Invictus Gaming won
- Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)Invictus Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.