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Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,455 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c43,709$19,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,890.21,48938.4%572 W · 917 L-44.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Over55c42,565$23,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,396.4274541.1%306 W · 439 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ae…69e9backed Over69c3,845$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c3,093$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.312,60839.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L-84.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a3…9e12backed Under34c2,941$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.173860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over69c2,602$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.6348549.9%242 W · 243 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under31c2,526$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.7450336.6%184 W · 319 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed Over66c2,423$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.438936%32 W · 57 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under34c2,213$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.941,54854.8%849 W · 699 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7982…968dbacked Over66c1,538$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over36c1,535$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.92,84541.4%1,178 W · 1,667 L-14.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Under37c1,231$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.2417155%94 W · 77 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Under37c1,116$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.2231653.8%170 W · 146 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7355…824cbacked Under31c1,068$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.686759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over66c976.3$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.3644539.3%175 W · 270 L-26.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6457…ed50backed Under36c958.43$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.271872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+43.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under40c895.13$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.3835250.3%177 W · 175 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over67c668.47$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.811,21339.6%480 W · 733 L-44.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e7…ac8ebacked Over67c658.49$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.1915840.5%64 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Under31c646$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.7423344.6%104 W · 129 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over39c643.09$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2616540%66 W · 99 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under63c641.84$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.482,27933%753 W · 1,526 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under33c631.67$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.22,20253.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L+63.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Under32c619.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.0422857%130 W · 98 L+21.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under32c596.97$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.683,06644.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L-97.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Over67c560.38$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.584856.3%27 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1322…aa4ebacked Under54c544.7$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over67c499.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9920452%106 W · 98 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over46c479.62$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.425234.9%88 W · 164 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under33c366.75$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.721,20644.7%539 W · 667 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Over66c320$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.23132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under45c303.97$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.312,08830.6%639 W · 1,449 L-176.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb78f…3a77backed Over31c299.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410549.5%52 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under29c290.18$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.031,51750.6%767 W · 750 L+75.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over30c286.83$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867045.7%32 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under44c256.26$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.561,49443.6%651 W · 843 L-31.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Under34c255.68$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7527441.2%113 W · 161 L-0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under38c240$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.82,57247.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L-36.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under67c219.32$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6815660.3%94 W · 62 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…7f23backed Under66c197.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.18450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Over69c174.68$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5316541.2%68 W · 97 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Under30c160.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4628444%125 W · 159 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a1…d1eebacked Over35c155.26$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.526952%140 W · 129 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over43c144.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1568043.1%293 W · 387 L-1.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under30c143.39$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3749847.8%238 W · 260 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf072…d897backed Under58c137.76$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.012161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under49c129$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4431246.2%144 W · 168 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under31c128.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.76662.1%41 W · 25 L+9.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8038…9547backed Over38c128.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.399459.6%56 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under63c121.64$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.461,04254.8%571 W · 471 L+52.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b49…f969backed Over70c109$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Under31c106$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.148145.7%37 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9f…0c25backed Under32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6833652.1%175 W · 161 L+32.0wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c19…4418backed Over68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.992842.9%12 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under32c98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6459134.2%202 W · 389 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ea9…9248backed Over69c92.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647561.3%46 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Over69c85.07$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.727955.6%155 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over15c84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.624535.5%87 W · 158 L-15.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1901…31cebacked Under32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.132045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under31c72.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1812138%46 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Under76c72.06$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2922865.8%150 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed Over67c71.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.183545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10d0…4d6abacked Over70c68.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742b…110abacked Over29c67.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2640%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over40c61.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751,15030.9%355 W · 795 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5457…ddcabacked Over69c61.49$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4310140.6%41 W · 60 L-7.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x722f…c00fbacked Over51c59.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under30c58.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851,39849.4%691 W · 707 L-20.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over21c57.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9982742.9%355 W · 472 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Under62c50.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.244242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over64c50.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0223234.9%81 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Under41c44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.966354%34 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5b…62c7backed Over70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011850%59 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61,43131.2%446 W · 985 L-141.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Under67c39.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2410450%52 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under32c39.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6767743.9%297 W · 380 L-23.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under60c38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2347452.1%247 W · 227 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb857…303cbacked Under49c36.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.732369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Under37c31.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.811356.6%64 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040745.5%185 W · 222 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.127549.8%137 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under78c29.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.541,19465.9%787 W · 407 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c28.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.811,22643.6%535 W · 691 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925967.6%175 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7524345.3%110 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6552…baa4backed Under74c24.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.322445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc57…ce2ebacked Over68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62142.9%9 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Over61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21,38347.4%655 W · 728 L-35.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Over62c18.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3912251.6%63 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b06…d80dbacked Under70c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.46248.4%30 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under66c16.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.697754.5%42 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.