Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x524f9261c116ab2874ba309abdb43fa459bce220f83c6665a530071400e1335a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invictus Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $846,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,151,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $846,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9a2…77d3backed Invictus Gaming | 71c | 139,911$99,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,402.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 109,503$32,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,169.69 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…1681backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 25,898$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 25,000$7,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,240.13 | 652 | 54.9%358 W · 294 L | +25.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 23,933$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335.26 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 20,000$5,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,736.6 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…a875backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 20,000$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,350 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c29…167ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 19,316$5,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,926.69 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…8277backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 19,067$13,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,980.12 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 18,500$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,220 | 921 | 43.4%400 W · 521 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…46e1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 15,443$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.72 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…f0a7backed Invictus Gaming | 79c | 13,030$10,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.37 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 12,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 602 | 57.6%347 W · 255 L | +24.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Invictus Gaming | 71c | 10,918$7,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.39 | 874 | 36.6%320 W · 554 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Invictus Gaming | 77c | 10,713$8,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.05 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 10,656$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.68 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 10,368$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.74 | 179 | 59.2%106 W · 73 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e5…cc1fbacked Invictus Gaming | 69c | 10,145$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Invictus Gaming | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.98 | 1,218 | 54.3%661 W · 557 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 9,669$6,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,287.3 | 526 | 46.4%244 W · 282 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…93aebacked Invictus Gaming | 66c | 9,125$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 8,489$6,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.81 | 1,613 | 53.8%868 W · 745 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 8,210$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.05 | 1,318 | 45.4%598 W · 720 L | +52.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…3b0dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 7,235$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.96 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…b109backed Invictus Gaming | 78c | 7,144$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.36 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…068abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 6,300$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 6,011$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.56 | 1,324 | 55.7%738 W · 586 L | +43.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Invictus Gaming | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 1,089 | 47.3%515 W · 574 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7c…70f2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 6,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 496 | 33.7%167 W · 329 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a23…5b3abacked Invictus Gaming | 69c | 5,886$4,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 5,761$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.64 | 560 | 56.4%316 W · 244 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Invictus Gaming | 74c | 5,178$3,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.34 | 1,485 | 61.3%910 W · 575 L | -21.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…9340backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 5,175$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d2…1a3ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Invictus Gaming | 71c | 4,361$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.25 | 1,213 | 39.6%480 W · 733 L | -44.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…1d07backed Invictus Gaming | 62c | 4,355$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.84 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 4,352$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.95 | 903 | 43.9%396 W · 507 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…41f9backed Invictus Gaming | 65c | 4,259$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 4,227$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.9 | 228 | 57%130 W · 98 L | +21.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 1,466 | 57.6%844 W · 622 L | +38.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 4,000$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 1,244 | 35.7%444 W · 800 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 3,943$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.72 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…5280backed Invictus Gaming | 73c | 3,888$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 3,788$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.87 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ba25backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 3,740$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.27 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Invictus Gaming | 66c | 3,501$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.46 | 991 | 49.1%487 W · 504 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 3,497$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.77 | 494 | 32.8%162 W · 332 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…5213backed Invictus Gaming | 68c | 3,489$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Invictus Gaming | 68c | 3,414$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.7 | 1,102 | 53.8%593 W · 509 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Invictus Gaming | 62c | 3,283$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.54 | 491 | 38.7%190 W · 301 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 2,900$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 2,829$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Invictus Gaming | 76c | 2,631$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.14 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 2,275$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.44 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 2,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 1,530 | 3.3%50 W · 1,480 L | -54.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 2,000$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.98 | 1,817 | 51.1%929 W · 888 L | +52.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 1,926$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 103 | 62.1%64 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…7db2backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 1,845$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,800$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613 | 923 | 51%471 W · 452 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Invictus Gaming | 74c | 1,608$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.8 | 827 | 42.9%355 W · 472 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad0…6187backed Invictus Gaming | 68c | 1,554$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.32 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Invictus Gaming | 62c | 1,552$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.4 | 483 | 41.2%199 W · 284 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Invictus Gaming | 71c | 1,541$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.41 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…a04fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 1,506$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.99 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,482$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…4727backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,450$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…0caabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 1,350$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 121 | 0%0 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 1,348$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.8 | 978 | 47.4%464 W · 514 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 1,326$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.65 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,314$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.16 | 581 | 44.9%261 W · 320 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 1,259$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.42 | 485 | 49.9%242 W · 243 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 220 | 46.8%103 W · 117 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 1,220$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 727 | 15.1%110 W · 617 L | -32.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Invictus Gaming | 68c | 1,106$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.92 | 1,239 | 54.5%675 W · 564 L | +51.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 1,100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 588 | 10%59 W · 529 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 1,096$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 1,027$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 778 | 30.2%235 W · 543 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 1,010$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.21 | 999 | 53%529 W · 470 L | +42.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,008$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.76 | 904 | 42.9%388 W · 516 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 1,000$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 210 | 64.8%136 W · 74 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed Invictus Gaming | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a59…68fbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…a40cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 900$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 222 | 32.9%73 W · 149 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Invictus Gaming | 70c | 899.99$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.54 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…d547backed Invictus Gaming | 67c | 892.13$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.13 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 868.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 293 | 51.2%150 W · 143 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 863.16$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 576 | 44.4%256 W · 320 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 800$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 417 | 48.7%203 W · 214 L | +30.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 799.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,313 | 26.4%346 W · 967 L | +63.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 767.92$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.65 | 1,177 | 49.4%581 W · 596 L | -16.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 766.85$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.34 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…85d5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 756.16$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.55 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 753.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.36 | 666 | 54.2%361 W · 305 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Invictus Gaming | 62c | 743.95$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.7 | 503 | 36.6%184 W · 319 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Invictus Gaming | 68c | 725.7$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.67 | 1,971 | 42.5%837 W · 1,134 L | -43.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…d298backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 710.34$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13a…707bbacked Invictus Gaming | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 700$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061c…2df8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Invictus Gaming won
- Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)Invictus Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.