Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe85cffd95fde2536388df4d8b3308320d78a5af800a2711210498ea75509a694
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invictus Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $610,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $658,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $610,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 136,360$37,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,695.68 | 1,213 | 39.6%480 W · 733 L | -44.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 50,057$15,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,429.18 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 33,333$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,333.23 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…072fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 32,651$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.69 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…068abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 30,939$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.66 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4d…0bd2backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 30,000$20,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,250 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Invictus Gaming | 71c | 30,000$21,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 318 | 45.9%146 W · 172 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 26,842$4,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,196.45 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Invictus Gaming | 71c | 23,471$16,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,779.1 | 991 | 49.1%487 W · 504 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.98 | 652 | 54.9%358 W · 294 L | +25.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Invictus Gaming | 71c | 12,500$8,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.99 | 200 | 70.5%141 W · 59 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 12,373$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.91 | 686 | 53.2%365 W · 321 L | +24.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 11,734$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.28 | 1,114 | 52.3%583 W · 531 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 10,573$7,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.63 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 10,515$7,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.4 | 206 | 36.9%76 W · 130 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…c2d7backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 9,792$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.43 | 330 | 34.8%115 W · 215 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…0d70backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 9,578$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.99 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 9,364$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.89 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Invictus Gaming | 69c | 8,735$6,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.9 | 602 | 48.5%292 W · 310 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 8,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 691 | 48.8%337 W · 354 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 8,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.99 | 607 | 54.7%332 W · 275 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 7,845$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.35 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x558a…02d9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 6,436$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.01 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Invictus Gaming | 72c | 6,419$4,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.19 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 6,339$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Invictus Gaming | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 503 | 36.6%184 W · 319 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…91a0backed Invictus Gaming | 73c | 5,421$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 5,237$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.73 | 1,548 | 54.8%849 W · 699 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 5,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 1,817 | 51.1%929 W · 888 L | +52.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed Invictus Gaming | 70c | 4,660$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Invictus Gaming | 72c | 4,393$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…0200backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 4,167$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 4,053$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.27 | 478 | 46.9%224 W · 254 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.99 | 826 | 52.8%436 W · 390 L | +42.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 3,951$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.31 | 228 | 57%130 W · 98 L | +21.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 3,902$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.55 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…5667backed Invictus Gaming | 71c | 3,890$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.1 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 3,876$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.93 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 3,650$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.49 | 1,483 | 28.9%428 W · 1,055 L | +23.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 3,578$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.87 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 3,106$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.81 | 2,279 | 33%753 W · 1,526 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Invictus Gaming | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 357 | 51.5%184 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…56cfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 2,900$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 128 | 25%32 W · 96 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Invictus Gaming | 71c | 2,898$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.53 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 2,882$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.85 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 2,832$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.59 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed Invictus Gaming | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 322 | 43.8%141 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 2,704$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.99 | 121 | 68.6%83 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…d168backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 2,515$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.99 | 1,032 | 52.4%541 W · 491 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 2,384$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.92 | 1,273 | 40%509 W · 764 L | -69.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Invictus Gaming | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 368 | 35.9%132 W · 236 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…c84bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 1,975$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Invictus Gaming | 70c | 1,857$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…86b1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 1,803$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…b7dabacked Invictus Gaming | 71c | 1,800$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…26abbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 1,710$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.89 | 553 | 29.7%164 W · 389 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…b4dfbacked Invictus Gaming | 71c | 1,700$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e9…51f0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 1,671$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Invictus Gaming | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 833 | 54.5%454 W · 379 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…4f96backed Invictus Gaming | 70c | 1,523$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.85 | 117 | 56.4%66 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 1,379$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.02 | 3,206 | 34%1,089 W · 2,117 L | -150.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 1,371$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.02 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…3338backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 1,360$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 1,259$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.47 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 1,230$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.41 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Invictus Gaming | 78c | 1,148$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.03 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…f843backed Invictus Gaming | 71c | 1,131$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.89 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Invictus Gaming | 70c | 1,100$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,162 | 56.2%653 W · 509 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Invictus Gaming | 70c | 1,071$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.58 | 352 | 50.3%177 W · 175 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…1f0dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 1,071$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 1,062$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Invictus Gaming | 69c | 1,021$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.16 | 1,239 | 54.5%675 W · 564 L | +51.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…261dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 1,001$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c248backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 185 | 35.7%66 W · 119 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Invictus Gaming | 76c | 1,000$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.83 | 666 | 54.2%361 W · 305 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Invictus Gaming | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,469 | 43.3%636 W · 833 L | +107.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Invictus Gaming | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 999.95$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 999.95$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 674 | 59.8%403 W · 271 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Invictus Gaming | 71c | 999.67$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.47 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +13.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Invictus Gaming | 74c | 975.49$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.45 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 938.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 2,926 | 38.4%1,125 W · 1,801 L | -122.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Invictus Gaming | 70c | 884.26$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.99 | 967 | 54.4%526 W · 441 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…ac8ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 882.22$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.49 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 869.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 503 | 47.3%238 W · 265 L | -14.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed Invictus Gaming | 74c | 850.23$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.06 | 377 | 61%230 W · 147 L | -27.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Invictus Gaming | 71c | 850$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 416 | 51.4%214 W · 202 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 824.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,971 | 42.5%837 W · 1,134 L | -43.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 800$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 746.31$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.97 | 1,206 | 44.7%539 W · 667 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 746.31$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.43 | 2,202 | 53.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc5…e3b9backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 718.8$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 159 | 59.7%95 W · 64 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 689.63$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.89 | 161 | 47.8%77 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…559ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 687.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 678.47$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 576 | 44.4%256 W · 320 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Invictus Gaming | 75c | 654.58$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 1,226 | 43.6%535 W · 691 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsthis page
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Invictus Gaming won
- Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)Invictus Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.