Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x125c9a470fadb59b6cf6bec0477b908ad7202a103ecf3968c975bb566810db60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invictus Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $872,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,130,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $872,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9a2…77d3backed Invictus Gaming | 77c | 157,117$121,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,039.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 92,000$21,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,341.6 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 22,722$6,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,066.61 | 398 | 35.2%140 W · 258 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 22,440$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.21 | 825 | 43.3%357 W · 468 L | +29.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Invictus Gaming | 76c | 21,380$16,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.85 | 1,218 | 54.3%661 W · 557 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 20,000$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.61 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…a875backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 20,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Invictus Gaming | 73c | 19,999$14,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,475.19 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…fe79backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 19,936$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,494.52 | 318 | 47.2%150 W · 168 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 18,000$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.28 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Invictus Gaming | 77c | 15,402$11,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.07 | 1,613 | 53.8%868 W · 745 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 14,685$4,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,258.73 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 13,200$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904 | 921 | 43.4%400 W · 521 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 13,133$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.54 | 652 | 54.9%358 W · 294 L | +25.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Invictus Gaming | 75c | 13,132$9,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.96 | 1,177 | 49.4%581 W · 596 L | -16.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,030 | 47%484 W · 546 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Invictus Gaming | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 187 | 55.1%103 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…1681backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 10,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.98 | 494 | 32.8%162 W · 332 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Invictus Gaming | 77c | 9,415$7,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.78 | 1,102 | 53.8%593 W · 509 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 9,240$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Invictus Gaming | 78c | 8,224$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.04 | 1,114 | 52.3%583 W · 531 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Invictus Gaming | 77c | 7,792$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.16 | 526 | 46.4%244 W · 282 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Invictus Gaming | 74c | 7,000$5,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810 | 1,466 | 57.6%844 W · 622 L | +38.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 6,825$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.65 | 1,226 | 43.6%535 W · 691 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 6,434$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.1 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2627…fa13backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 6,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 5,909$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 778 | 30.2%235 W · 543 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…0550backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 5,905$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…41f9backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 5,816$4,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.61 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 5,800$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 985 | 27.8%274 W · 711 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 5,507$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.3 | 228 | 57%130 W · 98 L | +21.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…5280backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 5,338$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Invictus Gaming | 77c | 5,195$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.8 | 1,324 | 55.7%738 W · 586 L | +43.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 4,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 923 | 51%471 W · 452 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 4,593$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.04 | 1,213 | 39.6%480 W · 733 L | -44.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 4,183$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.24 | 2,279 | 33%753 W · 1,526 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Invictus Gaming | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 602 | 57.6%347 W · 255 L | +24.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 1,244 | 35.7%444 W · 800 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 3,960$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.2 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ba25backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 3,269$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.63 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 3,242$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.44 | 178 | 43.8%78 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Invictus Gaming | 79c | 3,061$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.15 | 827 | 42.9%355 W · 472 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 3,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 357 | 51.5%184 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…eab0backed Invictus Gaming | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Invictus Gaming | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 938 | 53.9%506 W · 432 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 2,900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 727 | 15.1%110 W · 617 L | -32.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 2,813$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.84 | 405 | 40%162 W · 243 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 2,659$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.19 | 2,261 | 37.3%843 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…b109backed Invictus Gaming | 79c | 2,658$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.23 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 2,640$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.6 | 903 | 43.9%396 W · 507 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Invictus Gaming | 75c | 2,613$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.35 | 1,239 | 54.5%675 W · 564 L | +51.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 2,610$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.09 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 2,524$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.51 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 2,500$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,340 | 53.2%713 W · 627 L | +38.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 2,431$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.06 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 2,400$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.42 | 328 | 45.4%149 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 2,216$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.52 | 1,485 | 61.3%910 W · 575 L | -21.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…b092backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 2,212$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 2,206$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.31 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 293 | 51.2%150 W · 143 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…180dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 2,082$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 485 | 49.9%242 W · 243 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 647 | 7%45 W · 602 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…02e5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 1,964$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 373 | 48.5%181 W · 192 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 1,933$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.51 | 194 | 43.8%85 W · 109 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 1,900$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 338 | 35.8%121 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Invictus Gaming | 71c | 1,788$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.5 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…16abbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 1,769$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.07 | 146 | 56.8%83 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 1,682$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.29 | 322 | 43.8%141 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 1,609$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.63 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 1,555$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 1,313 | 26.4%346 W · 967 L | +63.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 1,554$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.17 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 1,553$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 34.4%72 W · 137 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Invictus Gaming | 71c | 1,530$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.7 | 691 | 48.8%337 W · 354 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 1,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1,530 | 3.3%50 W · 1,480 L | -54.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 1,500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 220 | 46.8%103 W · 117 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 205 | 41%84 W · 121 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 1,350$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 1,343$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 569 | 32%182 W · 387 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 1,300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…9536backed Invictus Gaming | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 1,259$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 1,076 | 28.4%306 W · 770 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 1,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 440 | 2.5%11 W · 429 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 1,200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 417 | 48.7%203 W · 214 L | +30.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…d547backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 1,197$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.64 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf66…3ba0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 1,120$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.48 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 1,107$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 1,080$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 923 | 49.9%461 W · 462 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 1,050$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1,353 | 38.6%522 W · 831 L | -68.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…a04fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 1,007$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a59…68fbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 999.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 999.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 588 | 10%59 W · 529 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…f67fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 997$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 78 | 5.1%4 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ba…d205backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 987.69$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf321…0315backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 980.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Invictus Gaming won
- Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)Invictus Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.