Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x692795139511207834e81dc3fe8678d85c8b23dd6f7fa89279e8556de4a1d31a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invictus Gamingof Invictus Gaming, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe100…4d41backed Invictus Gaming | 56c | 82,701$46,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,050.7 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 29,112$12,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,809.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 21,930$6,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,370.47 | 745 | 41.1%306 W · 439 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 187 | 55.1%103 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Invictus Gaming | 71c | 18,324$13,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.63 | 1,489 | 38.4%572 W · 917 L | -44.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…7f71backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 11,138$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,966.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 10,465$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.95 | 526 | 46.4%244 W · 282 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 10,039$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.57 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.98 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4d…0bd2backed Invictus Gaming | 51c | 7,357$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.79 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Invictus Gaming | 54c | 7,200$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.82 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Invictus Gaming | 58c | 5,765$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.59 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Invictus Gaming | 64c | 4,138$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.6 | 920 | 37.5%345 W · 575 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Invictus Gaming | 53c | 3,508$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.58 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +7.7wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +78%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Invictus Gaming | 57c | 2,991$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.35 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Invictus Gaming | 56c | 2,675$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.88 | 144 | 38.2%55 W · 89 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 2,415$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.71 | 777 | 53.3%414 W · 363 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 1,866$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.19 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 1,707$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.83 | 1,213 | 39.6%480 W · 733 L | -44.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 1,580$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.73 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…5d06backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 1,385$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 1,299$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.46 | 230 | 47.8%110 W · 120 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.84 | 1,616 | 48.3%780 W · 836 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 1,021$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.74 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…af42backed Invictus Gaming | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…16abbacked Invictus Gaming | 54c | 900$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.01 | 146 | 56.8%83 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Invictus Gaming | 54c | 887.15$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.09 | 521 | 55.9%291 W · 230 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 869.99$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.1 | 321 | 37.7%121 W · 200 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…ac8ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…33a4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 705$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 699.96$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.98 | 1,137 | 48.3%549 W · 588 L | +35.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 666$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 656.29$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.91 | 295 | 35.3%104 W · 191 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…d1f4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 561.03$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.07 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,195 | 44.4%531 W · 664 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Invictus Gaming | 52c | 471.81$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.47 | 1,517 | 50.6%767 W · 750 L | +75.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 456.25$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Invictus Gaming | 64c | 435.44$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.37 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…026dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 410.12$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 410$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 485 | 49.9%242 W · 243 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Invictus Gaming | 56c | 401.64$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.72 | 656 | 50%328 W · 328 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…5739backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 972 | 48.8%474 W · 498 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 381.8$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Invictus Gaming | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 2,385 | 32.1%765 W · 1,620 L | +44.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 340$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 827 | 42.9%355 W · 472 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 331.68$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 311.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 394 | 48%189 W · 205 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Invictus Gaming | 63c | 306.38$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 274 | 41.2%113 W · 161 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 255$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 233 | 44.6%104 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 245$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Invictus Gaming | 68c | 240$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 2,572 | 47.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L | -36.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…555ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 545 | 40.7%222 W · 323 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 202.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 352 | 50.3%177 W · 175 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Invictus Gaming | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Invictus Gaming | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 292 | 52.7%154 W · 138 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Invictus Gaming | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 228 | 57%130 W · 98 L | +21.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Invictus Gaming | 57c | 187.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 1,666 | 43.9%732 W · 934 L | -76.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Invictus Gaming | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e12…ac2ebacked Invictus Gaming | 54c | 176.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Invictus Gaming | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…2dc5backed Invictus Gaming | 57c | 172.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 159.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 400 | 51.3%205 W · 195 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…f856backed Invictus Gaming | 78c | 128.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 126$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Invictus Gaming | 55c | 125.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 327 | 45.9%150 W · 177 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 119.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 376 | 45.5%171 W · 205 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 108.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…a4f2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 106.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Invictus Gaming | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Invictus Gaming | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | +32.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d56fbacked Invictus Gaming | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Invictus Gaming | 80c | 97.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…fcdfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 93.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…b040backed Invictus Gaming | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae6…426ebacked Invictus Gaming | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…e825backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7131backed Invictus Gaming | 56c | 88.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Invictus Gaming | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 80.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 518 | 56.6%293 W · 225 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Invictus Gaming | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,398 | 49.4%691 W · 707 L | -20.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Invictus Gaming | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 243 | 45.3%110 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Invictus Gaming | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1f1cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 69.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 66.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Invictus Gaming | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0675…9e7ebacked Invictus Gaming | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…0102backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…249dbacked Invictus Gaming | 53c | 61.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)Invictus Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.