Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d3d3ce90d396952ee79d67d1c89fa370c22f1e9625b1082177fd41c98438e5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 66c | 1,320$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.67 | 252 | 32.5%82 W · 170 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 69c | 849.92$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.71 | 258 | 28.3%73 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…e898backed Yes | 57c | 733.01$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 37c | 614.87$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.14 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 40c | 409.76$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.14 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 36c | 349.87$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.01 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 42c | 312.39$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 333 | 43.2%144 W · 189 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 62c | 286.28$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.28 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 50c | 251.05$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.83 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x732e…0b35backed No | 42c | 224.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Yes | 68c | 219.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 190$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 407 | 48.4%197 W · 210 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 46c | 182.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 781 | 21.8%170 W · 611 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…04cebacked Yes | 50c | 160.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 142 | 31.7%45 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 25c | 149.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 69c | 142.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 354 | 70.6%250 W · 104 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 38c | 137.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 1,061 | 10.7%113 W · 948 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 824 | 35.8%295 W · 529 L | -38.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…9894backed No | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +511.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 43c | 115$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 68c | 103.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked Yes | 70c | 102.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 22c | 98.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 88.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 225 | 57.8%130 W · 95 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 28c | 85.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed No | 17c | 76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 165 | 12.7%21 W · 144 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 32c | 69.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4c…0499backed Yes | 55c | 54.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 34c | 51.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 64c | 46.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 295 | 48.1%142 W · 153 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 32c | 45.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 30c | 43.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…d002backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 51c | 35.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 523 | 28.3%148 W · 375 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…96cfbacked Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 36c | 30.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 162 | 64.8%105 W · 57 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 67c | 28.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…3975backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…a573backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 470 | 23.4%110 W · 360 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff3…e007backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 200+ posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.