Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdb6b75bb41b77b3de18a180800a762f4326b6e9bf9142743d3bd351b0dd145c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 31c | 1,570$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.61 | 252 | 32.5%82 W · 170 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 25c | 1,065$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.55 | 258 | 28.3%73 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 408.12$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.51 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 45c | 403.03$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.47 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 31c | 401.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.17 | 1,061 | 10.7%113 W · 948 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 69c | 379.5$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.98 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 38c | 362.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 354 | 70.6%250 W · 104 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…04cebacked Yes | 44c | 344.52$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.35 | 142 | 31.7%45 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 46c | 298.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.53 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 74c | 280.66$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.07 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 52c | 212.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 781 | 21.8%170 W · 611 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 53c | 209$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 24c | 198.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 335 | 41.8%140 W · 195 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 66c | 198$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 320 | 55%176 W · 144 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 69c | 189.51$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 407 | 48.4%197 W · 210 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 56c | 159.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 128 | 37.5%48 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 59c | 143.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 65c | 134.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 61c | 119.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4c…0499backed No | 55c | 108.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…ee76backed Yes | 19c | 102.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…9894backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +511.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 225 | 57.8%130 W · 95 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732e…0b35backed No | 64c | 93.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d078backed No | 31c | 91.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 56c | 90.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 295 | 48.1%142 W · 153 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 70c | 90$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 162 | 64.8%105 W · 57 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…43e1backed No | 41c | 73.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 57c | 66.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 66c | 65.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed No | 67c | 62.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef0…e28ebacked No | 56c | 61.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 60.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 824 | 35.8%295 W · 529 L | -38.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…202bbacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 57c | 54.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 57c | 49.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 57c | 48.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 71c | 46.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 66c | 37.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 33c | 33.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…d002backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 50c | 29.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 71c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 470 | 23.4%110 W · 360 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…4a1ebacked No | 78c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 39c | 26.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 436 | 5%22 W · 414 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed No | 74c | 26.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 59c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 436 | 27.5%120 W · 316 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…0f80backed Yes | 80c | 23.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Yes | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…9292backed No | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.25per pick | 57cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 151 | 75.5%114 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…852abacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.