MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e4db5133930c18ccd7fc30313e6bbed024c06218190ccfa4ad9f85f67372958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 45c | 44,427$19,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,445 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 44c | 17,328$7,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,703.46 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 17,063$9,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,424.75 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 56c | 4,600$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.99 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 56c | 4,444$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.64 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 56c | 3,640$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 2,555$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 56c | 2,326$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.7 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 2,239$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.78 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 2,170$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.49 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 44c | 2,160$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.4 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 45c | 1,874$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.26 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 55c | 1,573$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.25 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 1,044$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.51 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 55c | 955$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 924.66$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 854.67$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 56c | 789.73$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.52 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 48c | 739.67$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.3 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 54c | 736.68$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 45c | 603.46$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.51 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 55c | 524.4$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 77c | 431.38$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 53c | 430.06$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.93 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 400.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 44c | 387.43$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.21 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 55c | 297$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 43c | 214.34$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 211.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.68 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 147.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Over | 45c | 132.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 50c | 99.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 93.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Under | 55c | 88.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 56c | 80.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 46c | 76.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 51c | 72.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…5da6backed Over | 44c | 55.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 49.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 27c | 44.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 53c | 43.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 42.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 40.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 45c | 28.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 44c | 23.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Under | 57c | 23.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 52c | 22.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis CardinalsTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.