Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Sofia Johnson vs Emiliana Arango
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2396d07177e34a92dd23cbacaa0427b5668e3b352b5cef37a0288b7f4073ad8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Emiliana Arangoof Sofia Johnson, Emiliana Arango
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sofia Johnson | 17c | 1,515$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.05 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Emiliana Arango | 67c | 1,486$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.62 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sofia Johnson | 33c | 1,077$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Sofia Johnson | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sofia Johnson | 21c | 869.7$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Emiliana Arango | 60c | 833.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.32 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sofia Johnson | 20c | 690.57$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.54 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Sofia Johnson | 33c | 620$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Sofia Johnson | 16c | 528.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Emiliana Arango | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Sofia Johnson | 14c | 440.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Emiliana Arango | 67c | 326.35$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Emiliana Arango | 72c | 312.93$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Emiliana Arango | 65c | 305.34$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.87 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Emiliana Arango | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Emiliana Arango | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Emiliana Arango | 72c | 289.04$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Sofia Johnson | 31c | 214.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sofia Johnson | 16c | 204.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Sofia Johnson | 20c | 180.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Emiliana Arango | 69c | 179.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Emiliana Arango | 65c | 172.31$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Emiliana Arango | 60c | 166.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Sofia Johnson | 28c | 138$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Emiliana Arango | 65c | 137.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Sofia Johnson | 31c | 127.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…911dbacked Emiliana Arango | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 326 | 75.2%245 W · 81 L | +20.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sofia Johnson | 15c | 106.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Emiliana Arango | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Sofia Johnson | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Sofia Johnson | 21c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Sofia Johnson | 31c | 89.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sofia Johnson | 17c | 81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Sofia Johnson | 37c | 80.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Emiliana Arango | 71c | 76.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Emiliana Arango | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sofia Johnson | 24c | 71.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Emiliana Arango | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Sofia Johnson | 22c | 64.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Emiliana Arango | 61c | 64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sofia Johnson | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Emiliana Arango | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Sofia Johnson | 30c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Sofia Johnson | 32c | 55.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Sofia Johnson | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Sofia Johnson | 35c | 40.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Emiliana Arango | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Emiliana Arango | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Emiliana Arango | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…557abacked Sofia Johnson | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Emiliana Arango | 66c | 37.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Emiliana Arango | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sofia Johnson | 30c | 33.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Emiliana Arango | 63c | 31.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Sofia Johnson | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 26.8%33 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…93b2backed Sofia Johnson | 33c | 30.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Emiliana Arango | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Emiliana Arango | 78c | 28.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Emiliana Arango | 72c | 27.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Emiliana Arango | 65c | 24.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Emiliana Arango | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Emiliana Arango | 68c | 20.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Emiliana Arango | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…3b6cbacked Emiliana Arango | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Emiliana Arango | 71c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Emiliana Arango | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Sofia Johnson vs Emiliana Arangothis page
- Set Handicap: Arango (-1.5) vs Johnson (+1.5)Arango won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.