La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32570a423441f7829a96630500e92af45debf18307c6c71c770dddb9cb3ce679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 38c | 16,621$6,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,243.78 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 63c | 11,315$7,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.13 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 32c | 5,753$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 77c | 3,629$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.89 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 68c | 3,500$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 70c | 2,335$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.6 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 2,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 2c | 2,060$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 100 | 22%22 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 1c | 2,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Yes | 68c | 1,626$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed No | 32c | 1,621$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 1,439$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.85 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 7c | 1,235$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 28c | 1,165$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.67 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 7c | 1,128$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 69c | 1,075$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.37 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6a…3d49backed Yes | 65c | 911.6$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 31c | 749.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.49 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 4c | 740.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 68c | 691.18$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed No | 22c | 625.49$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 73c | 514$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 32c | 508.9$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.85 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 80c | 433.58$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 17c | 393$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 9c | 337.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 73c | 310.53$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 8c | 309.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 5c | 246.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 8c | 185.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 63c | 185.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 11c | 183.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 170.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 26c | 158.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Yes | 77c | 132$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed No | 32c | 128.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 25c | 126.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 21c | 123.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…348cbacked No | 32c | 118.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed No | 23c | 114$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 32c | 114$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 72c | 108.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 31c | 93.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 22c | 91.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…6033backed No | 33c | 81.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 62c | 73.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 75c | 66.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed No | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 61c | 58.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 68c | 53.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 25c | 52.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 65c | 45.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 92 | 76.1%70 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 68c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 71c | 21.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 76c | 20.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1082…48d3backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 76c | 15.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 152 | 60.5%92 W · 60 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-08-17?this page
- Will CD Eldense win on 2026-08-17?No won
- Will UD Almería vs. CD Eldense end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.