TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Utah State Aggies vs. New Mexico Lobos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utah State Aggiesof Utah State Aggies, New Mexico Lobos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Utah State Aggies52c15,026$7,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,178.45,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Utah State Aggies48c13,121$6,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,790.311,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New Mexico Lobos27c8,157$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.62,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Mexico Lobos47c7,034$3,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,303.521,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah State Aggies47c6,610$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico Lobos45c6,536$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.815,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed New Mexico Lobos52c6,002$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.8735151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked New Mexico Lobos56c5,311$2,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,986.4337441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed New Mexico Lobos52c5,000$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,604.9661652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New Mexico Lobos50c3,461$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.593,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked New Mexico Lobos54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62027851.1%142 W · 136 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked New Mexico Lobos54c2,200$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18825043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Utah State Aggies47c2,100$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11332751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed New Mexico Lobos57c1,968$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.0444549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Utah State Aggies50c1,437$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.892,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Utah State Aggies61c1,432$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.391,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Utah State Aggies51c1,257$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.0299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked New Mexico Lobos46c963.38$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.1487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Utah State Aggies51c945.83$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.3255840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed New Mexico Lobos38c895.18$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.092,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Utah State Aggies55c872.99$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.483148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked New Mexico Lobos37c858.74$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.911,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e13…391fbacked Utah State Aggies44c803.63$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+56.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed New Mexico Lobos37c770$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.061,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New Mexico Lobos14c723.62$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.464,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Utah State Aggies45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.674656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Utah State Aggies47c665.87$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.911,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked New Mexico Lobos56c642.86$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed New Mexico Lobos4c563.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New Mexico Lobos44c500.04$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.161,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked New Mexico Lobos54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Mexico Lobos53c494.23$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.872,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Utah State Aggies44c455.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.1613247%62 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed New Mexico Lobos57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013350.4%67 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Utah State Aggies47c436.17$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1719554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Utah State Aggies47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5379448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9684…16ecbacked Utah State Aggies54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed New Mexico Lobos57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed New Mexico Lobos52c323$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9691848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Utah State Aggies64c318.3$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.692,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Utah State Aggies48c314.68$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6314553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed New Mexico Lobos53c299.97$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9916755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked New Mexico Lobos47c299.92$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3619138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b5…e5eebacked New Mexico Lobos44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed New Mexico Lobos55c271.86$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6868254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed Utah State Aggies56c271.73$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.561546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Utah State Aggies50c249.77$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4713651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Utah State Aggies46c248$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Utah State Aggies59c245$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Utah State Aggies45c233.51$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4321347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Utah State Aggies44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2714244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed New Mexico Lobos44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005619.6%11 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked New Mexico Lobos54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah State Aggies44c217$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.874,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe630…5d81backed New Mexico Lobos52c215.38$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Utah State Aggies44c205.9$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.313842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…52f4backed New Mexico Lobos16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed New Mexico Lobos53c181.32$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed New Mexico Lobos56c179$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.651,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed New Mexico Lobos38c177.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3836845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Utah State Aggies48c162.31$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6197447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Utah State Aggies58c140.95$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.31,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked New Mexico Lobos29c139.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b5…1ccfbacked New Mexico Lobos34c138.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.782619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed New Mexico Lobos50c136.4$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8438345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked New Mexico Lobos41c133.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.881,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked New Mexico Lobos41c131.44$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5415733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Utah State Aggies62c120.07$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.889259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Utah State Aggies47c116.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.442,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Mexico Lobos36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked New Mexico Lobos50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc90…f8edbacked New Mexico Lobos53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3d…1491backed Utah State Aggies48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed New Mexico Lobos52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9950546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Utah State Aggies47c98.59$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7762451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7584…17bbbacked Utah State Aggies47c98.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dec…26c4backed New Mexico Lobos55c98.18$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc11e…789fbacked New Mexico Lobos52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Utah State Aggies53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3418167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Utah State Aggies44c93.61$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.741,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Utah State Aggies54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5925544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Utah State Aggies61c91.61$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+84.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Utah State Aggies47c75.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9418844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a5…2caebacked New Mexico Lobos42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Utah State Aggies45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6722656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Utah State Aggies53c66.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9622953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…7699backed Utah State Aggies48c62.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x926c…a86bbacked Utah State Aggies44c59.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.092850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed Utah State Aggies47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.194658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed New Mexico Lobos53c50.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.722850%14 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Utah State Aggies45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Utah State Aggies43c49.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.492,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Utah State Aggies44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4521746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeace…ffb1backed New Mexico Lobos43c44.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Utah State Aggies45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4425230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb180…8905backed New Mexico Lobos45c43.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Utah State Aggies47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Utah State Aggies47c38.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.121651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed New Mexico Lobos38c36.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.723,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Utah State Aggies58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4823331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.