TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x167a…7699

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31.03
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35.74
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$48.18
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.91
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+127.3%+$46.76
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+244.8%+$71
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-80.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.33
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$31.63
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+37%+$11.05
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$49
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$62.23
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$64
All 7 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.76
Utah State Aggies vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$32.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$38.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.