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Bundesliga · resolved market

Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-08-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes8c11,806$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016144.7%72 W · 89 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No74c7,998$5,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.5248030.6%147 W · 333 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes10c5,081$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No67c4,508$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.5131045.2%140 W · 170 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes14c4,055$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.9751442.2%217 W · 297 L-1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Yes28c3,333$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+62.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No72c3,274$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes18c3,174$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-32.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef19…4091backed Yes54c2,924$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No48c2,178$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.887356.2%41 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes51c1,800$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9185754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c1,719$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.773151.7%378 W · 353 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Yes52c1,603$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes52c1,139$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.282832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes31c1,100$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34124432%78 W · 166 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes55c962.38$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.3414250%71 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50070%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No80c901.88$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.033548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6980…5478backed Yes51c820$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes52c795.12$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.957133.8%24 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No45c699.33$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.1467145.6%306 W · 365 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes3c608.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6135237.2%131 W · 221 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No75c570.86$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9654540.9%223 W · 322 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No71c414.41$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.421145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc057…4d23backed Yes19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Yes55c365.45$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes15c330$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes55c306.9$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.82975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes17c306$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.123542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdae8…42c1backed Yes31c303$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce6…1e03backed Yes28c299.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes55c285.71$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+68.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Yes26c270$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0280…6e1ebacked Yes52c222.75$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206254.8%34 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes57c210.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6670…16e1backed Yes11c207.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8330%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes19c189.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3441244.4%183 W · 229 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Yes31c183.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+59.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No45c183$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.871,10850.5%560 W · 548 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes7c182.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.593727%10 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-47.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9e2a…39bdbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c179.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.681,69145%761 W · 930 L+6.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked No63c135.34$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.293327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f78…3546backed Yes10c125.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66a…b156backed Yes17c122.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf740…bbdabacked Yes15c117.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-72.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No58c95.07$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0727445.3%124 W · 150 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ec…3cd6backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c6…615ebacked Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes30c88.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.631030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f5…fcf3backed Yes26c75.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed No70c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed6c…4eb1backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Yes51c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.35650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No45c69.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1755459%327 W · 227 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e49…e7debacked No71c69.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.972475%18 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+92.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked No70c64.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.291154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No45c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.857251.7%296 W · 276 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Yes26c55.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+88.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No48c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2617345.7%79 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x739b…417ebacked Yes54c49.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes24c49.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-52.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…01e5backed Yes52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbe…42debacked Yes28c44.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed Yes52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204269%29 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x73c2…b0c4backed Yes52c34.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes59c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.061338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No80c29.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8950143.5%218 W · 283 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5180…9cf1backed Yes52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No49c21.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No80c20.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.061250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed Yes56c19.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.772356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes59c19.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.441947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No76c16.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.782556%14 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.