Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3795b8a781e34e62d4ff380d8024b81f827b1373f98dd7f0bb074bf181f9e1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Yes | 38c | 73,909$27,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,912.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 35,632$20,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,822.09 | 2,564 | 39.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 77c | 10,652$8,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,223.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 46c | 10,105$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.01 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…abb2backed Yes | 48c | 8,357$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 7,630$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.5 | 310 | 45.2%140 W · 170 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 52c | 6,444$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.47 | 514 | 42.2%217 W · 297 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 51c | 6,247$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 52c | 4,254$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.43 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 4,037$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.68 | 860 | 32.7%281 W · 579 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 50c | 3,833$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked No | 46c | 3,445$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 3,139$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.35 | 731 | 51.7%378 W · 353 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 23c | 2,173$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.21 | 391 | 48.1%188 W · 203 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 50c | 2,064$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 3c | 2,003$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -34%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 31c | 1,757$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…767cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,728$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 55c | 1,726$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,453$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.32 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +12.2wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 71c | 1,324$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.93 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 3c | 1,181$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 64c | 1,076$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.91 | 1,024 | 44.4%455 W · 569 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 4c | 1,007$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked No | 46c | 1,004$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.95 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Yes | 50c | 990.38$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 42c | 974.44$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 41c | 806.51$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbb9backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 78c | 587.24$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.26 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 15c | 566.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked No | 3c | 560.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 55c | 491.52$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.18 | 274 | 45.3%124 W · 150 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed No | 49c | 474.38$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 48c | 459.2$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 59c | 441.04$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.34 | 501 | 43.5%218 W · 283 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed Yes | 57c | 416.63$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 43c | 410.04$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 58c | 408.68$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.91 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 23c | 390.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.24 | 671 | 45.6%306 W · 365 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Yes | 60c | 321.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 41c | 299.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd526…5efebacked Yes | 73c | 260.01$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 56c | 249.64$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked No | 58c | 235.56$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 52c | 233.96$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 37c | 230.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 480 | 30.6%147 W · 333 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 67c | 229$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 55c | 224.47$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed No | 56c | 218.63$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 63c | 202.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 202.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 352 | 37.2%131 W · 221 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 21c | 188.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 68c | 186.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 55c | 160.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 153.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 412 | 44.4%183 W · 229 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 70c | 129.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked No | 80c | 124.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6670…16e1backed No | 17c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked No | 45c | 107.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 105.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 402 | 57.5%231 W · 171 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 104.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 39c | 91.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Yes | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 22c | 80.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 1,108 | 50.5%560 W · 548 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 52c | 77.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 38c | 76.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 59c | 69.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 545 | 40.9%223 W · 322 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 24c | 67.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…fe71backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…e7debacked No | 76c | 60.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed No | 38c | 57.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…e039backed Yes | 55c | 55.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked No | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 59c | 52.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 402 | 59%237 W · 165 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…a282backed Yes | 51c | 50.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb199…814ebacked No | 39c | 44.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 32c | 41.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…bbdabacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a8…b58bbacked No | 80c | 37.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 56c | 34.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed No | 47c | 29.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 52cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will VfL Bochum vs. VfL Osnabrück end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-08-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.