TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Yankees vs. Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yankeesof Yankees, Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x79cb…331ebacked Royals1c6,400$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.14754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Royals47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yankees55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Yankees54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92031346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Royals46c1,996$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.1327953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Royals11c1,387$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.342,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Royals47c1,279$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Royals8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Royals46c1,250$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.4788549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Royals46c1,212$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.538949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Yankees51c1,199$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.6225550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Royals45c1,193$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.0720850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees54c1,118$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.4666645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Royals1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yankees55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfffe…1df7backed Yankees53c999.68$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.853941%16 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Royals8c995.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals46c958$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.831,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees53c885.18$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.042,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees57c805$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.1986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yankees58c764.53$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.759,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Royals45c543.89$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.145,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Royals7c539.42$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7612314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yankees68c522.64$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6496133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Yankees55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5518247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees53c453.48$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.031,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Royals43c453$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.66132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Royals45c413.12$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.91,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Royals4c412.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Royals25c400$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10138741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Royals46c399.93$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.973,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees53c324.81$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.661,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Royals46c299.98$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9914549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2d…e348backed Yankees54c299.97$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9918159.1%107 W · 74 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Yankees54c295.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1412552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Royals37c286.59$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9463942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Yankees54c275.93$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9315543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…1070backed Yankees55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.733941%16 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yankees66c254$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1568769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Royals6c252$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.148762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Royals38c241$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.671,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Royals8c229.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6920343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Royals47c223.69$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Yankees55c220.4$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.420150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Royals46c217.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.281,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Royals6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9858…2a5fbacked Royals46c187.65$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.323339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Yankees54c186.96$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Yankees54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1928453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4206…3187backed Royals47c182.6$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.822860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc93b…ae97backed Yankees55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbd…ed66backed Royals45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Royals46c160$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.81,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Royals34c156$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.043943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb886…893abacked Royals47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Yankees55c127.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2811058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Yankees55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2710552.4%55 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x344c…0c31backed Yankees55c116.31$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.342853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b40…80a4backed Yankees55c110.78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.852944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Yankees60c109$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1465549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a2…42e4backed Yankees55c109$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.052450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5a…1d01backed Royals46c108.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.32642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b41…88cabacked Royals47c103.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.453246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Royals46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Yankees54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4617149.7%85 W · 86 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Yankees54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467135.2%25 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yankees53c99.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9951151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd441…2338backed Yankees55c98.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.522751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0624…faafbacked Yankees55c98.65$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.393148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yankees54c95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.71,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb97…add3backed Royals52c94.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.297142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals46c93.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.242,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Yankees55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9119053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yankees55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9178454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Royals47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2456…7864backed Royals47c80.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.752864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Yankees55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3614951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb130…6ee2backed Yankees55c76.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3712249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x071c…784bbacked Yankees55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Yankees55c71.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5620649.5%102 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80a0…d0afbacked Yankees55c65.18$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.332948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Yankees54c59.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2674356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Royals46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.341649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Royals36c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.656,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf817…80ccbacked Yankees55c52.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.734654.3%25 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Yankees73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.568656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yankees55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yankees55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4569547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Royals45c43.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.823545.5%107 W · 128 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f8…1affbacked Royals47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011147.7%53 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80e1…8e76backed Royals47c41.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.322661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1da0…2825backed Yankees54c40.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.741546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yankees54c40.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7185047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Yankees54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0437951.7%196 W · 183 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df4…0fe8backed Yankees54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.048257.3%47 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Royals45c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.651,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Yankees55c36.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.611,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.