Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x564672adb077d4cca209b33a664ea5602cc91e8b070df3bc98255348ae5de65f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 44c | 722.22$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.78 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 519.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 31c | 515$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 45c | 323.64$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 66c | 301.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…40c4backed Yes | 80c | 250.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 74c | 248.4$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 57c | 235.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 27c | 231.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 36c | 221.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 19c | 216.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3929…afd2backed No | 70c | 213.56$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 52c | 206.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 201.09$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked Yes | 21c | 200.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 404 | 38.1%154 W · 250 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 189.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 75c | 188$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…a3a9backed No | 14c | 183.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 163.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 27c | 146$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 145 | 24.1%35 W · 110 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 13c | 135$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 29c | 134.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 30c | 134.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 18c | 129.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 11c | 129.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…6960backed Yes | 79c | 126.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 123$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 80c | 113.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…b5bebacked Yes | 76c | 109.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 68c | 105.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00b6…cd1fbacked No | 74c | 102$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 55c | 98.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 69c | 98.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…405abacked Yes | 46c | 95.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 75c | 92.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…6ce5backed Yes | 42c | 92.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…937cbacked No | 28c | 90.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 27c | 83.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 64c | 82.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…684cbacked No | 37c | 81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 85 | 80%68 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 24c | 78.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 59c | 77.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 16c | 77.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 25c | 75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed No | 62c | 70.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed No | 55c | 70.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…0f92backed No | 55c | 70.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 22c | 64.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 39c | 64.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 17c | 63.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 63c | 62.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 69c | 59.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 27c | 58.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…6606backed No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…faacbacked Yes | 72c | 53.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +30.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +177%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 24c | 53.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 48c | 52.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 40c | 51.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb8…7809backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b17…f3febacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 23c | 47.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed Yes | 32c | 47.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +22.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0c9cbacked Yes | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…93f1backed No | 75c | 40.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 60c | 34.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 44c | 33.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 62c | 33.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5130…818bbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 57c | 30.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 71c | 30.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 56c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…57f6backed No | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 277 | 69%191 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 58c | 25.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 73c | 22.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 69c | 22.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61cf…9067backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.