Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e310e3e42b8e1130d91a5c9d6cceb23933172450b4e3922f2a4635e19cebbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,081$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.45 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed No | 75c | 2,492$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.41 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 9c | 2,139$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 25c | 1,826$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.7 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…d8b2backed Yes | 4c | 1,671$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 20c | 1,199$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 73c | 1,103$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.05 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 71c | 1,006$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 73c | 938.6$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.92 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…96cebacked Yes | 34c | 906.71$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.33 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 26c | 904.52$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.91 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 21c | 792.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.58 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 64c | 653.87$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.64 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 2c | 642.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed Yes | 29c | 598.86$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.3 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 18c | 586.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…3061backed Yes | 20c | 575.22$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 385 | 15.6%60 W · 325 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 72c | 563.9$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 7c | 469.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 29c | 447.51$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…2bb6backed Yes | 8c | 410.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…81a3backed Yes | 30c | 402.36$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…d6a7backed Yes | 27c | 369.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 68c | 369$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 31c | 359.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…7659backed Yes | 26c | 329.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fc…4b70backed Yes | 26c | 324.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…77d1backed Yes | 26c | 318.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 31c | 318.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 10c | 300.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…3620backed Yes | 29c | 279.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a7…d16bbacked Yes | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 255.87$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 74c | 247.64$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 25c | 237.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 11c | 233$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…b34abacked Yes | 25c | 232.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…9642backed Yes | 30c | 231.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked Yes | 25c | 224.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 68c | 217.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 64c | 204.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…b344backed Yes | 28c | 198.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 72c | 193.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 71c | 186.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 13c | 185.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 74c | 183.92$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 165$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 62c | 159.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 71c | 158.35$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 31c | 157.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Yes | 22c | 146.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 232 | 41.8%97 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 71c | 143.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 69c | 142.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Yes | 25c | 138.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 69c | 135.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 135.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 71c | 133.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 69c | 132.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 67c | 131.16$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…0cc3backed Yes | 40c | 129.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 15c | 129.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 10c | 128.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed Yes | 20c | 124.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 75c | 121.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…6fd2backed Yes | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 14c | 115.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 14c | 114$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 112.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 72c | 112.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aca…6977backed Yes | 40c | 111.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 107.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 72c | 103.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 31c | 101.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…dc7abacked Yes | 11c | 100.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…ea44backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc388…ed37backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 20c | 99.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 28c | 99.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 67c | 94.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 76c | 88.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…e4f9backed Yes | 17c | 83.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 22c | 72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed Yes | 30c | 70.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 182 | 22%40 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…3d1ebacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 68c | 68.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 18c | 66.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked Yes | 18c | 64.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 17c | 64.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 79c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…94b2backed Yes | 31c | 58.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…7a72backed Yes | 18c | 58.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 25c | 57.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Yes | 31c | 57.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…da6dbacked No | 64c | 56.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdc…e076backed Yes | 29c | 55.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 33c | 50.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.