Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b560e738ef6bc91288a9b204aba7db0731c7d92b1f2f933344c3c8268c22751
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 41c | 1,376$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.8 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 41c | 1,230$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.78 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 58c | 1,109$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.58 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 22c | 650.04$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 440.01$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.28 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 59c | 408$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.72 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 374.69$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.21 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 41c | 310.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.14 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 45c | 242.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 37c | 238.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 35c | 214.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.26 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 56c | 210.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 59c | 192.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 56c | 190.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 58c | 172.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…0b9abacked Yes | 39c | 166.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 39c | 145.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…781fbacked Yes | 35c | 142.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…f7edbacked No | 56c | 129.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 35c | 126.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 43c | 126$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 125.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 36c | 123$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 58c | 117.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 59c | 113$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 11c | 93.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 55c | 91.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 54c | 81.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 50c | 79.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 50c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…b02abacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 36c | 70.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 43c | 70.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…50c3backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 47c | 58.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 60c | 56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…04c2backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e05dbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…ae8dbacked Yes | 80c | 48.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | +28.7wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 46.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 39c | 46.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed No | 61c | 45.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -34.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 43c | 44.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 39c | 44.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed No | 63c | 44.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed No | 56c | 41.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…0662backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7082backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 38c | 39.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 32c | 37.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb430…efc9backed Yes | 38c | 36.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 61c | 35.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 35.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 34.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…81cdbacked Yes | 72c | 33.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 64c | 33.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea7…1523backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 32.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…073abacked Yes | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 55c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 30.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1a…8c64backed No | 63c | 30.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 38c | 30.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 317 | 66.9%212 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 59c | 28.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 47c | 25.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 43c | 25.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Yes | 41c | 24.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 43c | 23.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 54c | 21.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked Yes | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 67c | 20.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…fab6backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 297 | 69.4%206 W · 91 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed No | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked No | 61c | 19.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 18.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 74c | 17.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 74c | 16.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 64c | 16.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.