Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bc21bde7f216be5697038a8430870a9484bb35a3dacbbda2e52eca335e48226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc293…675dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,135$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 14c | 749.03$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 23c | 645.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.47 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 20c | 522.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 467.2$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.17 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 70c | 382.55$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.29 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 32c | 368.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 68c | 328.32$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 6c | 324.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 21c | 275.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 34c | 269.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 15c | 261.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 31c | 253.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 22c | 222.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c85dbacked Yes | 27c | 221.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 23c | 216.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…ebeabacked Yes | 29c | 207.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 17c | 192.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeadb…898ebacked Yes | 14c | 186$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 21c | 174.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 30c | 164.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 70c | 164.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad6…29f2backed No | 66c | 152.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…943ebacked Yes | 23c | 140.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 137.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 32c | 127.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 28c | 122.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 70c | 121.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fc…69a1backed Yes | 44c | 113.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 12c | 113.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 19c | 109.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 68c | 107.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 105.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Yes | 35c | 102.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 97.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 89.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 66c | 86.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a10…3e47backed Yes | 35c | 84.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 84.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 69c | 83.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…6ddfbacked Yes | 23c | 83.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 24c | 82.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 69c | 81.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 72c | 76.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 36c | 73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 26c | 69.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 70c | 69.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 29c | 67.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…3f95backed No | 73c | 67.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 72c | 64.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 66c | 64.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 33c | 62.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 30c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…dff5backed Yes | 33c | 60.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 74c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 36c | 56.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 72c | 55.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 55.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe442…1e49backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 29c | 53.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…452fbacked Yes | 24c | 53.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 65c | 50.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…923abacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…c567backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 79c | 48.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 28c | 48.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 69c | 46.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 29c | 46.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 35c | 43.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 60c | 41.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 38c | 41.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 76c | 41.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 77c | 40.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758d…9548backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…83b1backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…2e0ebacked Yes | 30c | 39.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 31c | 39.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dc…2222backed No | 73c | 37.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 37c | 36.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 74c | 35.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…34e1backed Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 74c | 35.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 32c | 35.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9848…f408backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 35c | 33.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…ef7cbacked Yes | 34c | 32.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…9096backed Yes | 34c | 32.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 64c | 30.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.