Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f012575b3301d003a5473bb5283ad24f69e0d3033cda4894503ec529fdad108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a99…e614backed No | 15c | 2,095$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.17 | 181 | 16.6%30 W · 151 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 19c | 1,637$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.77 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 19c | 1,289$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.31 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 12c | 691.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 16c | 647.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1e…0567backed No | 29c | 533.22$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.27 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.76 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 10c | 462.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 62c | 442.52$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeadb…898ebacked Yes | 66c | 362.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 33c | 359.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed No | 17c | 349.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 11c | 334.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 30c | 317.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 79c | 299.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 66c | 299.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.69 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 79c | 293.49$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 40c | 289.1$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.85 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 71c | 276.35$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.36 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 26c | 225.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 66c | 218.51$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 5c | 211.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 25c | 204.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 33c | 197.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 31c | 168.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 62c | 166.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 70c | 153.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 75c | 148.58$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 18c | 144.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 17c | 142$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 38c | 139.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 138.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 74c | 136.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 11c | 135.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fc…69a1backed Yes | 38c | 132.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 60c | 131.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed No | 20c | 129.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 37c | 129.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 29c | 128.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 20c | 128.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…ebeabacked Yes | 37c | 125.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 122.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 11c | 112.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 60c | 107.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 76c | 105.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 36c | 105.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 34c | 103.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 21c | 101.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 99.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 44c | 98.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 24c | 90.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 89.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3a…1466backed No | 21c | 88.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 29c | 86.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 79c | 86.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 85.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 36c | 83.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…d3b9backed No | 18c | 82.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…6dabbacked No | 42c | 81.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 70c | 80.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…3f95backed No | 62c | 79.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c85dbacked No | 23c | 78.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed No | 21c | 78.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 77.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd476…aa8ebacked No | 18c | 73.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 15c | 70.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 70.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 62c | 67.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…31b0backed No | 24c | 63.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 34c | 63.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 36c | 62.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 28c | 59.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 74c | 58.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 38c | 57.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 74c | 57.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 33c | 57.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 34c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 73c | 56.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…2e0ebacked Yes | 36c | 55.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…dff5backed Yes | 30c | 55.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…202cbacked No | 43c | 54.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 33c | 54.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 79c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe442…1e49backed Yes | 38c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 64c | 50.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…c567backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.