NFL · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c8ebb1e419333ac91793baf21b277d9d7c06f402340c0047d3ac092742d8aad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Cardinals, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Cardinals | 43c | 23,815$10,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,214.96 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Lions | 57c | 19,845$11,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,533.17 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Lions | 60c | 9,922$5,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.16 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Cardinals | 41c | 8,031$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.45 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lions | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Cardinals | 41c | 3,578$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.97 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Cardinals | 13c | 3,549$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.49 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lions | 78c | 1,740$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.15 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Lions | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Cardinals | 7c | 1,593$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb43…b10abacked Cardinals | 40c | 1,416$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Lions | 58c | 1,272$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.44 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Lions | 60c | 1,235$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.5 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799b…362dbacked Cardinals | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Cardinals | 40c | 1,057$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.5 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cardinals | 39c | 656.83$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.9 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Cardinals | 28c | 650.28$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.03 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Lions | 58c | 555$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.32 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Cardinals | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Cardinals | 31c | 500$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Cardinals | 42c | 478.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cardinals | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Cardinals | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Cardinals | 41c | 408.29$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b36…acebbacked Lions | 60c | 347.47$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…28a0backed Lions | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…3cc7backed Lions | 58c | 309.81$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Lions | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Cardinals | 41c | 279.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…3acabacked Lions | 59c | 259.25$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Cardinals | 43c | 251.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Lions | 59c | 250$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Lions | 66c | 247.06$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Cardinals | 29c | 214.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Lions | 58c | 213.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Lions | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Cardinals | 8c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…b2a7backed Lions | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…8979backed Lions | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb76…a3f0backed Cardinals | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8eaabacked Cardinals | 14c | 162.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Lions | 66c | 151.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Lions | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Lions | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Cardinals | 34c | 148.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…a61fbacked Cardinals | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf168…5725backed Cardinals | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…3646backed Cardinals | 43c | 116.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Cardinals | 41c | 110.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Lions | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Cardinals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Lions | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Lions | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Lions | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lions | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Cardinals | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Cardinals | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Lions | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Lions | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Cardinals | 21c | 82.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Cardinals | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Cardinals | 42c | 78.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f0…37adbacked Lions | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…455fbacked Cardinals | 20c | 67.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Lions | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…a1b2backed Cardinals | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd387…cb91backed Cardinals | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Cardinals | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cardinals | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57fd…b1cfbacked Lions | 59c | 51.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Cardinals | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…676abacked Lions | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9864…6c50backed Cardinals | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Cardinals | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Lions | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…2dccbacked Lions | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee9…353abacked Cardinals | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…8326backed Cardinals | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Lions | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…d636backed Lions | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Lions | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Lions | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Cardinals | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…b021backed Lions | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…45e9backed Lions | 58c | 29.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Cardinals | 41c | 28.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…94a9backed Cardinals | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7101…3fc5backed Lions | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Lions | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.