TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification WTA: Francesca Jones vs Mona Barthel

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Francesca Jonesof Francesca Jones, Mona Barthel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,399 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38a…8d26backed Francesca Jones60c9,206$5,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,682.372458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Francesca Jones73c7,315$5,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.763,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mona Barthel36c7,073$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.4911,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Francesca Jones65c5,100$3,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.864,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesca Jones63c4,803$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.826,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mona Barthel38c4,124$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.799,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae51…1d03backed Francesca Jones65c3,369$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.2316254.9%89 W · 73 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Francesca Jones64c2,581$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.4274654.8%409 W · 337 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Mona Barthel22c2,484$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.524,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mona Barthel22c2,183$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.215,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mona Barthel52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.996,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Francesca Jones77c1,482$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.453,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Francesca Jones65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.862,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb29…95ffbacked Mona Barthel24c1,077$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Mona Barthel63c1,032$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65018443.5%80 W · 104 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Mona Barthel3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb174…1894backed Mona Barthel48c979.56$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.191421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.8wins-0.34per pick55cpaid-66%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Francesca Jones61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6714651.4%75 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Francesca Jones59c814.87$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.5553539.3%210 W · 325 L+37.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Mona Barthel34c583.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.186149.2%30 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Mona Barthel33c566.12$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0343652.1%227 W · 209 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Mona Barthel44c452.75$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.971,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mona Barthel34c421.68$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.288,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Francesca Jones75c295.72$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.721,76645.9%810 W · 956 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Francesca Jones59c288.26$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9137849.2%186 W · 192 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mona Barthel47c259.23$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.737,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Francesca Jones79c241.26$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.675,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Mona Barthel40c207.95$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.174,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1004…7800backed Mona Barthel52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6f8…df87backed Francesca Jones64c186$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9615550.3%78 W · 77 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Mona Barthel35c165.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3119948.7%97 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Mona Barthel16c150.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2956926%148 W · 421 L-23.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Francesca Jones68c149.42$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0794751.1%484 W · 463 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Mona Barthel35c149$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4253946.9%253 W · 286 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Mona Barthel37c135.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Mona Barthel39c117.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.961,87853.2%1,000 W · 878 L+30.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d8…da3bbacked Francesca Jones73c114.86$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0738148.3%184 W · 197 L+28.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Mona Barthel28c105.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.811,90444.1%839 W · 1,065 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Mona Barthel35c100.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8695445.5%434 W · 520 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Francesca Jones53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Francesca Jones69c95.12$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.122,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Mona Barthel51c79.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5378248.3%378 W · 404 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f3…e279backed Francesca Jones66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b6…99b4backed Francesca Jones70c75.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.714653.4%78 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Mona Barthel32c71.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.881,00049.8%498 W · 502 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Mona Barthel31c64.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2099148.6%482 W · 509 L+43.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mona Barthel37c63.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.759,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0a…f8b9backed Mona Barthel47c63.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+38.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Mona Barthel40c63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.252,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b6…9b2cbacked Mona Barthel33c60.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016256.2%91 W · 71 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Francesca Jones52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6996755%532 W · 435 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf98d…384ebacked Mona Barthel39c52.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.486952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…b2cebacked Francesca Jones57c52.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.648159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0868…efe8backed Francesca Jones56c51.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.668236.6%30 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Francesca Jones62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.059149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Francesca Jones67c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6738951.2%199 W · 190 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Mona Barthel37c47.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7633043.9%145 W · 185 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe75…5af2backed Francesca Jones79c43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1912961.2%79 W · 50 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08b5…77e9backed Francesca Jones76c41.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.94683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Mona Barthel49c37.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2947148.2%227 W · 244 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeca…15e7backed Francesca Jones61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.793675%27 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dc8…c4f4backed Francesca Jones53c30.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.171050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Francesca Jones56c30.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.276,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe366…6de2backed Mona Barthel48c29.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.216550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Francesca Jones65c29.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2239257.7%226 W · 166 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Mona Barthel35c28.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.152,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc611…cc2ebacked Francesca Jones47c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8410452.9%55 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Francesca Jones65c27.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7259347.4%281 W · 312 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Francesca Jones57c26.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.192,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1f…57adbacked Francesca Jones55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2514652.7%77 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Francesca Jones52c24.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.633753.7%181 W · 156 L+21.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid0%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Francesca Jones65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0810968.8%75 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Francesca Jones79c22.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.812,08754.1%1,130 W · 957 L+64.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Mona Barthel53c20.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.788157.9%510 W · 371 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x521f…7f6fbacked Francesca Jones74c20.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Mona Barthel52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.464147.7%306 W · 335 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Francesca Jones68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.414496.5%139 W · 5 L+36.7wins+0.25per pick71cpaid+34.3%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Mona Barthel53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0725652%133 W · 123 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Francesca Jones63c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6630465.5%199 W · 105 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Francesca Jones63c17.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5598055.4%543 W · 437 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240b…c32abacked Francesca Jones64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.633565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.