Lol · resolved market

LoL: GnG Amazigh vs Disruptors (BO3) - Arabian League Play-Ins

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd0771128f4b3d71ea67245b68ad49181c10221902ed3fb53e93d07603676d3b

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: GnG Amazighof GnG Amazigh, Disruptors
Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $14,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,717 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xddf1…d4aebacked GnG Amazigh	33c	4,524$1,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,045.9	107	58.9%63 W · 44 L	+10.8wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed GnG Amazigh	47c	2,868$1,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,507.11	1,477	48.3%713 W · 764 L	+45.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Disruptors	60c	2,643$1,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,595.49	1,501	54.5%818 W · 683 L	+34.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Disruptors	70c	2,514$1,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,760.01	197	58.9%116 W · 81 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked GnG Amazigh	30c	1,273$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.33	254	33.5%85 W · 169 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Disruptors	67c	480.08$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.65	125	57.6%72 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed GnG Amazigh	52c	450$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.95	1,058	23.5%249 W · 809 L	-75.8wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Disruptors	67c	375$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.25	185	60.5%112 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9f…0c25backed GnG Amazigh	31c	361.3$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.48	283	53%150 W · 133 L	+28.1wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Disruptors	67c	254$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.18	201	46.8%94 W · 107 L	-9.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1312…39cebacked GnG Amazigh	56c	223.58$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.58	128	53.1%68 W · 60 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Disruptors	51c	219.6$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	196	37.8%74 W · 122 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5abe…d360backed Disruptors	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	167	47.3%79 W · 88 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9845…9d6fbacked Disruptors	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	118	44.9%53 W · 65 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8206…4826backed Disruptors	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	101	42.6%43 W · 58 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Disruptors	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	149	41.6%62 W · 87 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Disruptors	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	146	41.8%61 W · 85 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Disruptors	51c	182$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.82	208	42.3%88 W · 120 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1407…e56cbacked Disruptors	51c	172$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.72	109	36.7%40 W · 69 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec21…33dcbacked Disruptors	51c	172$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.72	81	37%30 W · 51 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb0…9fdbbacked Disruptors	51c	172$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.72	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Disruptors	51c	160$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	257	40.1%103 W · 154 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Disruptors	73c	137.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	214	58.9%126 W · 88 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Disruptors	70c	137$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.9	382	57.9%221 W · 161 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Disruptors	62c	132.13$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.73	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd233…14f3backed Disruptors	67c	121$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.07	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Disruptors	58c	115$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.21	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-15.6wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5e2…5405backed Disruptors	51c	112$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.12	87	41.4%36 W · 51 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb1…d11ebacked Disruptors	46c	103.55$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.7	155	41.3%64 W · 91 L	-9.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7db2…9fecbacked Disruptors	67c	102$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.34	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Disruptors	67c	101.49$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Disruptors	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	193	44%85 W · 108 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Disruptors	52c	92.75$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.98	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed GnG Amazigh	31c	89.26$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.57	748	49.6%371 W · 377 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Disruptors	68c	80$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	109	33%36 W · 73 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed GnG Amazigh	47c	79.13$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.33	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca6…9da8backed GnG Amazigh	32c	63.19$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.19	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed GnG Amazigh	40c	63.1$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.59	1,310	49.2%644 W · 666 L	-23.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed GnG Amazigh	56c	61.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.88	637	42.7%272 W · 365 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked GnG Amazigh	72c	58$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Disruptors	67c	57$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.19	268	56.7%152 W · 116 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Disruptors	48c	52.18$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.13	1,357	31.2%423 W · 934 L	-129.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Disruptors	67c	48$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.16	580	43.3%251 W · 329 L	-47.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-27%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed GnG Amazigh	30c	44.18$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.93	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed GnG Amazigh	34c	41.97$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.7	238	42.9%102 W · 136 L	-21.1wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Disruptors	35c	39.09$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	1,543	54.8%845 W · 698 L	+75.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Disruptors	52c	38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Disruptors	53c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	501	45.7%229 W · 272 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d89…2b45backed Disruptors	51c	31.75$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.19	43	65.1%28 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Disruptors	68c	31.6$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.49	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Disruptors	52c	31$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.14	857	42.7%366 W · 491 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed GnG Amazigh	47c	30.32$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.17	257	37%95 W · 162 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Disruptors	71c	30$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	450	44.7%201 W · 249 L	-29.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked GnG Amazigh	57c	29$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.43	1,063	47.2%502 W · 561 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Disruptors	67c	28.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.42	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-44%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed GnG Amazigh	73c	28.07$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.63	89	38.2%34 W · 55 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked GnG Amazigh	43c	28$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.98	944	44.4%419 W · 525 L	-31.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0868…efe8backed Disruptors	53c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	94	39.4%37 W · 57 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5926…e20abacked Disruptors	67c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	65cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Disruptors	52c	21.54$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Disruptors	61c	20.97$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	140	42.1%59 W · 81 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked Disruptors	69c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	1,055	39.6%418 W · 637 L	-74.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe010…5147backed Disruptors	62c	17.76$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-9.7wins	-0.42per pick	55cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	28-0.20 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked GnG Amazigh	67c	17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.66	1,318	47.3%624 W · 694 L	-31.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Disruptors	69c	15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	182	63.7%116 W · 66 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x395a…eb72backed Disruptors	67c	15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	44	70.5%31 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: GnG Amazigh vs Disruptors (BO3) - Arabian League Play-Ins

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market