Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Michele Ribecai vs Niels McDonald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc02e1ba5cf1f1b0d1d312bab5e746a7e14edf1cd395ce03e3a0b77b788c9f0cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niels McDonaldof Michele Ribecai, Niels McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Michele Ribecai | 40c | 7,383$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Niels McDonald | 34c | 7,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Niels McDonald | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.67 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Niels McDonald | 62c | 2,756$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.7 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Niels McDonald | 79c | 2,343$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.09 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Michele Ribecai | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x592b…672cbacked Michele Ribecai | 24c | 1,641$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Michele Ribecai | 79c | 1,195$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.05 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Michele Ribecai | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Michele Ribecai | 65c | 995.3$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.95 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michele Ribecai | 27c | 947.97$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Niels McDonald | 66c | 890.11$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.06 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Niels McDonald | 69c | 878.73$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.49 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…fa51backed Michele Ribecai | 66c | 748.47$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Niels McDonald | 52c | 739.37$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.68 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Michele Ribecai | 34c | 689.45$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.44 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Michele Ribecai | 48c | 685.05$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.07 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Michele Ribecai | 55c | 645.42$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.89 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Michele Ribecai | 33c | 600$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.91 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Michele Ribecai | 33c | 515.03$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.06 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michele Ribecai | 42c | 499.32$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Niels McDonald | 35c | 497.94$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.75 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Michele Ribecai | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Michele Ribecai | 55c | 448.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Niels McDonald | 29c | 442.55$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.03 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Michele Ribecai | 42c | 425.89$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.4 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Niels McDonald | 65c | 421.69$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.63 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Niels McDonald | 32c | 401.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.84 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Niels McDonald | 45c | 381$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.55 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Michele Ribecai | 30c | 378.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Michele Ribecai | 18c | 355.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Niels McDonald | 49c | 344.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.52 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Niels McDonald | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Niels McDonald | 37c | 302.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.7 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Niels McDonald | 37c | 271.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.93 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Michele Ribecai | 19c | 225$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Michele Ribecai | 38c | 200.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Michele Ribecai | 39c | 200.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Michele Ribecai | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Niels McDonald | 57c | 180.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Michele Ribecai | 32c | 171.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Niels McDonald | 34c | 162$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Michele Ribecai | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Michele Ribecai | 68c | 160$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Niels McDonald | 68c | 153$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Niels McDonald | 74c | 150.94$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Michele Ribecai | 44c | 135$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Niels McDonald | 69c | 133.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Niels McDonald | 38c | 132.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Niels McDonald | 59c | 123.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Michele Ribecai | 34c | 120.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Niels McDonald | 57c | 109.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Niels McDonald | 80c | 108.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Michele Ribecai | 39c | 105.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Michele Ribecai | 40c | 104.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Niels McDonald | 65c | 102.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Niels McDonald | 79c | 100.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Michele Ribecai | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Niels McDonald | 26c | 97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…a572backed Niels McDonald | 79c | 94.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 199 | 77.4%154 W · 45 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Niels McDonald | 61c | 94.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Michele Ribecai | 63c | 94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Michele Ribecai | 25c | 91.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Michele Ribecai | 58c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Niels McDonald | 56c | 88.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Michele Ribecai | 69c | 87.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Michele Ribecai | 29c | 87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Niels McDonald | 37c | 81.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Niels McDonald | 40c | 81.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Niels McDonald | 36c | 79.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Niels McDonald | 65c | 78.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Niels McDonald | 62c | 74.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Niels McDonald | 68c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Michele Ribecai | 28c | 62.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Niels McDonald | 72c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Michele Ribecai | 54c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed Michele Ribecai | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Michele Ribecai | 62c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Michele Ribecai | 66c | 55.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Niels McDonald | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Niels McDonald | 31c | 52.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Niels McDonald | 55c | 51.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Michele Ribecai | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Niels McDonald | 41c | 49.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Michele Ribecai | 23c | 46.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Michele Ribecai | 44c | 46.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Niels McDonald | 30c | 41.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Niels McDonald | 31c | 39.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked Michele Ribecai | 65c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Niels McDonald | 38c | 32.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Niels McDonald | 35c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Michele Ribecai | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…0b12backed Michele Ribecai | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Niels McDonald | 49c | 30.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Niels McDonald | 57c | 30.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Michele Ribecai | 34c | 29.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Michele Ribecai | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 478 | 57.9%277 W · 201 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Niels McDonald | 65c | 28.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Niels McDonald | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Michele Ribecai | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Targu Mures: Michele Ribecai vs Niels McDonaldthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ribecai vs McDonaldMcDonald won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.