TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,768 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c12,701$6,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,804.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No44c11,806$5,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,194.7734249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes56c8,177$4,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.061,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No46c3,125$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43840239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes62c3,084$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.7835244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No45c3,015$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.523,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No46c2,800$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.9832765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No41c2,693$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.882,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No44c2,417$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.973,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No46c2,066$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.1684738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3092…4aa9backed Yes58c2,037$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.547959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No45c1,992$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.492,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes54c1,500$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.3547648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No37c1,072$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.84,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeaa…95d6backed Yes55c999.56$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.84932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No10c900$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Yes56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.864654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No70c883.04$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.5648438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No46c804$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.792,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b5…8723backed Yes55c789.24$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.162245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No42c661.81$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.1834330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes77c650.87$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.875060%30 W · 20 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+45.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No17c608.24$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1646047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd48…0074backed Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.717945.6%36 W · 43 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b1…e789backed Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7117053.5%91 W · 79 L+14.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.712763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20017462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No22c431.42$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.942,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e5…9623backed No45c408$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.612541.6%52 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1421443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1414841.9%62 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes67c298.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6628251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes54c288.31$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.352,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7324344.4%108 W · 135 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes55c239.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9922449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…9aadbacked Yes56c217.86$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.862343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked No44c212.24$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9845528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa135…68b8backed No45c209.56$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.332245.3%146 W · 176 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8831156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Yes59c196.24$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.466860.3%41 W · 27 L+11.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+39.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3122846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked No50c185.63$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.122227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5728134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1425…6e0cbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.577429.7%22 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No36c176$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.482,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4982…bfc6backed No45c165.47$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94e4…c3e8backed Yes56c159.77$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7713851.4%71 W · 67 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Yes57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.356152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Yes59c135.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.712181%17 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+39.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x97e5…d1f0backed Yes56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes57c124$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.482,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No45c115.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5986656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6807…391ebacked Yes57c111.34$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.226949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Yes55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0919553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x151f…5651backed Yes55c107.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.273036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6e9…9756backed Yes56c102.12$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7216147.2%76 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb938…08acbacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee6e…8dacbacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc080…f9a0backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea06…47c9backed Yes54c90.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.524139%16 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c53…69fbbacked Yes55c90.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.29830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa782…cbafbacked Yes16c90.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.639631.3%30 W · 66 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+93.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xddbf…99c2backed Yes56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.613045.4%59 W · 71 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes21c89.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.962,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c2…94e1backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c73…0fd5backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293531.4%11 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadae…bc30backed Yes56c82.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.142564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b7f…4fc9backed Yes56c69.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.641464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+163.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked Yes55c69.13$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes55c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.252,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No45c64.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.621,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes57c64.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5720844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf4…5bc1backed Yes47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.832733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3211…bcf7backed No45c62.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4136953.9%199 W · 170 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba34…32b8backed Yes56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.526151.7%135 W · 126 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked No44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.455942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e96…ed12backed Yes56c57.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.141540%6 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+47.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No36c57.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.552,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…fe97backed Yes55c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a9…572fbacked Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.579649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8641…60f2backed Yes56c53.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.568353%44 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e8c…f2cfbacked Yes54c51.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed Yes56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Yes24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3828251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34b2…735ebacked Yes56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed No46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2314750.3%74 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0237526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabcc…5b75backed Yes56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6410258.8%60 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0751…530ebacked Yes56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.642347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed No45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021463.6%136 W · 78 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cfb…df93backed No51c42.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1827…42bcbacked No45c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.917549.1%86 W · 89 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x378f…a862backed No45c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.932943.8%144 W · 185 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x378a…09e2backed No45c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.97860.3%47 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.487938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…8eb3backed No46c39.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3912449.2%61 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes54c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7c…a9b9backed Yes56c37.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.519645.9%90 W · 106 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.