NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd2e49fb8370a239df8d600e39371997632660a8eb85aba6107e662cd096a79a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Bulls, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $773,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $825,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $773,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c5d…ce43backed Bulls | 15c | 130,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Bulls | 17c | 92,493$15,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,948.95 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Knicks | 69c | 57,356$39,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,542.97 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Knicks | 70c | 52,711$36,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,016.47 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Bulls | 22c | 17,030$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.09 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Knicks | 79c | 13,524$10,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.83 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 32c | 12,128$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,892.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bulls | 36c | 11,911$4,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,258.93 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 17c | 11,424$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.79 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Knicks | 73c | 10,292$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.78 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 15c | 9,948$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.62 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Bulls | 37c | 9,722$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.93 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Knicks | 78c | 7,405$5,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.6 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 40c | 6,485$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.72 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Knicks | 74c | 5,252$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.57 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Knicks | 72c | 4,978$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.94 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Bulls | 52c | 4,247$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.28 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Knicks | 72c | 3,600$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Bulls | 29c | 3,387$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.55 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Bulls | 18c | 3,275$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.59 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Bulls | 15c | 3,035$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.25 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bulls | 19c | 3,000$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.31 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bulls | 25c | 2,891$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.41 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Bulls | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Knicks | 70c | 2,320$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.39 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Bulls | 14c | 1,888$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.66 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls | 12c | 1,720$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.43 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Bulls | 7c | 1,711$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…cde0backed Bulls | 16c | 1,586$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Bulls | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Bulls | 18c | 1,468$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.17 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bulls | 2c | 1,315$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks | 79c | 1,259$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.13 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…d34abacked Bulls | 24c | 1,229$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Bulls | 3c | 1,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Bulls | 49c | 1,179$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.9 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Bulls | 11c | 1,091$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Bulls | 15c | 1,085$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Bulls | 10c | 866.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Bulls | 30c | 809.91$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.01 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bulls | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Bulls | 18c | 788.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…3efebacked Bulls | 19c | 672.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Knicks | 77c | 663.36$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.75 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Bulls | 20c | 650$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Bulls | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Bulls | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Bulls | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705e…bbd7backed Bulls | 15c | 624.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bulls | 25c | 616.48$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Bulls | 17c | 611.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Knicks | 67c | 606.23$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Bulls | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Knicks | 67c | 568.34$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.88 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bulls | 6c | 562.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Bulls | 21c | 551.22$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Bulls | 18c | 535$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Bulls | 17c | 529.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Bulls | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…4bb7backed Bulls | 19c | 524.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Bulls | 20c | 508.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Bulls | 12c | 504.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Knicks | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Bulls | 12c | 500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…1b15backed Bulls | 15c | 435.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…6b64backed Bulls | 36c | 421.25$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Bulls | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…8cf7backed Bulls | 14c | 396.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Bulls | 15c | 390.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Bulls | 39c | 385.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 13c | 376.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2089…6f2bbacked Bulls | 27c | 374.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Bulls | 16c | 354.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…3821backed Bulls | 15c | 340.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Bulls | 15c | 338$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bulls | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Bulls | 33c | 330$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Bulls | 15c | 328.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…2c71backed Bulls | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Bulls | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Bulls | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Bulls | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3d…8ed3backed Knicks | 78c | 299.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Bulls | 19c | 291.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Bulls | 10c | 289.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…0fa9backed Bulls | 16c | 275$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bulls | 14c | 262.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c7…c4dabacked Bulls | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…6c10backed Bulls | 23c | 233.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Bulls | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411c…e9c0backed Bulls | 17c | 219.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 107 | 24.3%26 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…ce51backed Bulls | 16c | 212.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Bulls | 15c | 203.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Knicks | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Bulls | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.