TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay leading at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,539 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No9c51,579$4,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,693.053,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No0c33,333$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.338332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No6c10,979$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.3636437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes56c9,797$5,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,286.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No74c9,488$7,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,039.542,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No1c4,897$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9721946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes21c3,999$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,159.0671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes21c3,723$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.173,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked No26c3,382$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.8453629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes22c3,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,34054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes45c2,864$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.394,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed No9c2,859$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7627931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes60c2,068$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.3453448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No1c2,020$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked No25c2,000$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.8736234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No25c1,971$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.964,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed No79c1,835$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.863070%21 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No23c1,766$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.6415932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No3c1,676$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked No40c1,630$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65222639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Yes22c1,591$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.918631.4%27 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No1c1,307$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed No79c1,089$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.416640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes22c917$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.711,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed No32c705.7$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5233438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No4c651.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0870750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed No79c641.04$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.4212325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No4c622.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes80c605.63$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.352,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed No31c599.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1867544%33 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No5c599.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked No12c503.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No79c500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes21c500$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39535514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No79c461.83$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.8539050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed No12c416.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8026…4005backed No25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009819.4%19 W · 79 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes21c400$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3161,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes80c396.1$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.842,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes21c392.06$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.733,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No29c386.01$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9164850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No14c373.28$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.861,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8715747.1%74 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No17c292$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.641,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d9…708dbacked No80c272.14$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.719372%67 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes21c258.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.071,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes21c210$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.91,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b8…5e92backed No12c208.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259926.3%26 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes22c208$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2458029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No23c206.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.431,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes21c196.29$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.071,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No37c183.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2237644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No48c172.61$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.972,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes21c171.57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.541,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked No20c170$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3420850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed No30c165$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.518028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes21c164.19$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.717528%21 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No79c150$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.581554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes22c148.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.622,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x640b…d920backed No42c140.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3919027.9%53 W · 137 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes21c99.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9992038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No78c99.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9957252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Yes61c91.77$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7916755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No17c91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.472,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9114624.7%36 W · 110 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No79c72$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.793,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a51…9c22backed Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.794852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked No20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1247029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No79c55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.192,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Yes21c54.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Yes66c52.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.836350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No20c50.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.148438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.51,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08a7…3285backed Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…086dbacked Yes75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes21c49.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.491,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No79c47.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.519069.5%132 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No67c45.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.461,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes56c45.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.951458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No31c38.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8919939.7%79 W · 120 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x390a…67e8backed Yes62c30.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.651464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d1…48b0backed Yes73c25.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.025320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725b…68c2backed Yes62c23.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.92853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e9…8856backed No80c22.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb852…8eb3backed No80c21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.812449.2%61 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No78c20.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.742,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.