MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5b03b4466a72f4df47d5763d4d3f2c050070a7b5d96222ec819941f91fb1a22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Atlanta Braves, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Atlanta Braves | 31c | 61,018$18,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,968.74 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 16,900$11,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,710.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 14,616$10,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,193.93 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac9…e85abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 7,158$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 6,990$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.82 | 4,120 | 57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L | +67.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…2351backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 5,100$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 4,463$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.71 | 908 | 46.5%422 W · 486 L | +27.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 4,124$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.26 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 4,090$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.84 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 3,900$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 2,560$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.63 | 4,427 | 47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L | -77.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 1,600$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 655 | 52.5%344 W · 311 L | +29.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 1,600$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.12 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…1fbebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 1,239$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.06 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 940.2$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.27 | 1,697 | 49.1%834 W · 863 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 28c | 852.82$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.43 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…b0b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 833$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 799.87$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1,877 | 50.2%943 W · 934 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 693.03$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.77 | 533 | 57.6%307 W · 226 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 610$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 5,240 | 56.8%2,974 W · 2,266 L | +130.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 577.09$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.01 | 581 | 39.4%229 W · 352 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Atlanta Braves | 28c | 347.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 315.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 664 | 49.2%327 W · 337 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 310$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 289.26$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 1,049 | 58.4%613 W · 436 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 268.92$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 1,267 | 58.5%741 W · 526 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 255.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 1,939 | 44.5%862 W · 1,077 L | -29.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 7c | 223.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 4,445 | 45%2,001 W · 2,444 L | +87.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 203.25$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Atlanta Braves | 29c | 202.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 1,258 | 44%553 W · 705 L | -33.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 156$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5,182 | 54.6%2,829 W · 2,353 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 138.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 134.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 462 | 58%268 W · 194 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 134.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 608 | 59.2%360 W · 248 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 127$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 98.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 747 | 52.5%392 W · 355 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 5,861 | 43.7%2,562 W · 3,299 L | -190.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 80.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 65.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 3,866 | 42.3%1,636 W · 2,230 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,444 | 50.1%1,225 W · 1,219 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f9…27c8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 48.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1,501 | 63.4%951 W · 550 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 44.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…2383backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 40.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 39.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2,200 | 40.2%884 W · 1,316 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Atlanta Braves | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 384 | 49%188 W · 196 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 34.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,979 | 53.2%1,052 W · 927 L | +45.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 31.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 411 | 53.8%221 W · 190 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3,467 | 51.2%1,775 W · 1,692 L | +105.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc020…5edbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 20.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 472 | 51.5%243 W · 229 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…cd73backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 20.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…5826backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 17.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 16.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…8e6bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.